Best NFL Bets for Christmas Day: Trust Aaron Rodgers, Jonathan Taylor To Have Star Performances

By the time all your gifts are unwrapped on Christmas and the second nap of the day is over, the NFL will have two games ready for you. The Green Bay Packers will host the Cleveland Browns in the early window and the Arizona Cardinals will try to secure a playoff berth in the late window. 

For both games, the BetSided team has you covered with the best prop bets for the Christmas Day slate. 

All odds via WynnBET.

Best Prop Bets For NFL Christmas Games

• Aaron Rodgers OVER 259.5 Passing Yards (-125)
• Jonathan Taylor OVER 108.5 Rushing Yards (-125)
• Browns +7.5 vs. Packers (-110)

Browns vs. Packers: Aaron Rodgers OVER 259.5 Passing Yards (-125)

The Cleveland Browns have one of the better passing defenses in the NFL, but I’m going to back the potential MVP Aaron Rodgers against them on Christmas. Rodgers has gone over this prop number of 259.5 passing yards in six of his last seven games, and the Packers quarterback is averaging 260.6 passing yards per game this season.

Rodgers has been on fire over his last four games, and I think he continues his hot streak as the Packers try to lock up the No. 1 seed in the NFC.

Rodgers hasn’t gone below this total since Davante Adams returned from the COVID-19 list, and I don’t expect things to change against a Cleveland team that may be a loss away from falling out of playoff contention.

Colts vs. Cardinals: Jonathan Taylor OVER 108.5 Rushing Yards (-125)

Taylor has easily cleared this line in five of the last six games and I think this number would have to be closer to 115 for me to hesitate on it. Taylor is averaging 5.6 yards per carry this season and is just getting better and better as the weeks go on. Arizona is just outside the bottom five in opponent yards per carry. They haven’t faced a team that is this committed to the run or one as good as running the ball all year. Even though they may be motivated after their loss to the Lions, there isn’t much I see the Cardinals being able to do to stop Taylor on the ground.

Taylor is an MVP candidate and this is a game he can win on his own for the Colts. Indianapolis has been riding on his shoulders, giving him over 30 carries in two of the last four games (and 29 last week against the Patriots). If the Colts are going to have any chance of making the playoffs, it will be because Taylor goes off.

Browns vs. Packers: Browns +7.5 vs. Packers (-110)

It's not pretty, I know. Aaron Rodgers is a cheat code when it comes to betting trends, especially at home, but there I believe the Ravens released the script on the Packers defense. Yes, Kenny Clark will be back at nose tackle for the Packers, but this is a defense that is 27th in the league in EPA per rush. If the Browns are able to utilize Nick Chubb and grind this clock, they can stay within one score.

Baltimore was able to establish the run and limit the amount of possessions for Rodgers and co. Not to mention, Cleveland should get a host of key contributors off the COVID-19 list. If the team can put together some long sustaining drives, this game can be close late.

Don't sleep on the letdown factor for Green Bay either. The team wrapped up an NFC North title last week while the Browns are playing for the postseason lives. I expect we see a full effort and a chance for Cleveland to hang around in a spread over a touchdown.