The Miami Dolphins might be in free-fall at 8-7 and now they’re without their quarterback. Sadly, Tua Tagovailoa suffered his second concussion of the year and doesn’t have a timetable for his return.
Teddy Bridgewater will lead Mike McDaniel’s team into Foxborough this week against the 7-8 Patriots.
Does that mean that we should take the under on the Miami receivers, or will we get extra value backing Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle’s overs with Tua out? Can Teddy two-gloves save Miami's season?
Let’s get into three prop bets that I like for this AFC East matchup in New England.
Best NFL Prop Bets for Dolphins vs. Patriots
- Tyreek Hill Long Reception Over 25.5 Yards (-114)
- Jaylen Waddle Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
- Rhamondre Stevenson Under 60.5 Rush Yards (-114)
Tyreek Hill Long Reception Over 25.5 Yards (-114)
Is there really much of a drop-off from Tua to Teddy? I’m not quite sure there really is. Tua has shown something throwing the ball downfield, but it can’t be that hard to get the ball to Tyreek Hill when he’s creating constant separation.
Tua’s average depth of target this season is 10.1 which is fantastic, but Teddy Bridgewater’s is 9.3 in the snaps he’s played this year, and even last year in Denver he was at 8.4. He’s going to take a couple shots to Hill and even if he doesn't, McDaniel will get it into Hill’s hands and he can easily take a screen pass 80 yards to the house.
Jaylen Waddle Over 54.5 Receiving Yards (-120)
Waddle was incredible last week, he went for 143 yards and a touchdown on just five grabs. Most of his damage came before Tua’s concussion which he stayed in the game after and was not diagnosed until later in the week.
This total is coming down from what we usually get it at and I think that’s great value.
Rhamondre Stevenson Under 60.5 Rush Yards (-114)
Bill Belichick has changed his running back usage this season. He has a three-down bellcow back in Stevenson, as opposed to his RB by committee he typically utilizes. Bellichick is never shy to bench a guy for mistakes or fumbles and turn to a different back.
Sure, he doesn’t have the depth of talent at the position this season, but at some point Stevenson will find himself on the bench. In back to back weeks he’s made the play that lost the game. Two weeks ago he made the first lateral to Jakobi Meyers.
Yeah, Meyers is more at fault for his stupidity on that play, but he should have never even gotten the ball and that was a mistake on Stevenson’s part. Then last week he fumbled away the comeback that looked so promising.
He seems to have a long leash, but it can’t be that long can it?
Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE
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