Best NFL Prop Bets for Commanders vs. Texans in Week 11 (Trust Washington's Passing Game)

The Houston Texans sit at 1-7-1 and try to get a win over the Washington Commanders, who took down the Philadelphia Eagles. While Houston is firmly in line to get the No. 1 pick, Washington is trying to make the playoffs and keep pace with the rest of the NFC East. 

This game has no shortage of playmakers, so let’s look at the prop market to see where the best value lies. 

Best Prop Bets For Commanders-Texans

• Dameon Pierce OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards
• Taylor Heinicke OVER 209.5 Passing Yards
• Brian Robinson UNDER 66.5 Rushing Yards

Dameon Pierce OVER 75.5 Rushing Yards

Pierce is the best player on the Texans offense, and he is their best chance of winning this game. Even though the Commanders are 10th in the league in opponent yards per rush, Pierce has been a monster. He’s cleared this line in six of his last seven games. The Texans have given him 20+ carries four times this year. Expect another big workload and a big day behind it. 

Taylor Heinicke OVER 209.5 Passing Yards

Heinicke has cleared this line in two of his last three games and has a favorable matchup this week. The Texans are 26th in opponent yards per pass. With the struggles the Commanders have had running the ball, don’t be surprised if Washington opens this game up through the air – especially with Jahan Dotson starting to get back into the fold. 

Brian Robinson UNDER 63.5 Rushing Yards

Robinson is one of the least efficient rushers in the league. He’s averaging 3.3 yards per carry and has only cleared this line twice this season. Even with the Texans having one of the worst run defenses in the league. Robinson doesn’t inspire a lot of confidence if he’s not getting well over 20 carries in the game. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.