Best NFL Prop Bets for Jets vs. Patriots in Week 11 (Don't Trust These Second-Year QBs)
By Josh Yourish
The AFC East is one of the best divisions in football right now, and even at 6-3 and 5-4 the New York Jets and New England Patriots, respectively, are third and fourth in the division. This is a huge matchup in the AFC Playoff race and in Zach Wilson’s career.
Bill Belichick has had the second-year QBs number and if Wilson can play better this week, Jets fans might start believing in him as a franchise guy. I don’t believe in him, so I think I’ve found some value in the prop market this week.
Best NFL Prop Bets for Jets vs. Patriots
- Zach Wilson Under 195.5 Pass Yards
- Zach Wilson Under 0.5 Interceptions
- Mac Jones Over 0.5 Interceptions
Zach Wilson Under 195.5 Pass Yards
Wilson threw three interceptions in the last matchup against New England. However, he also threw for 355 yards. After the game Wilson essentially said he got bored checking the ball down, and I think that Robert Saleh and the Jets’ coaching staff will do everything to limit Wilson this week. They do not want him making mistakes, so I don’t think they will let him throw the ball much at all.
Zach Wilson Under 0.5 Interceptions
If Wilson isn’t throwing the ball, then he can’t throw interceptions. I expect the offense to be incredibly simplified for Wilson and the Jets to run the ball 40+ times this game. He could still get antsy and make a mistake, but I think they have beaten it into his head not to take risks.
Mac Jones Over 0.5 Interceptions
Mac Jones has played in six games this season and has thrown seven picks. He has not been the safe game manager that we saw a year ago. He has been an indecisive, antsy quarterback that has been turning the ball over a lot. To get this at nearly even odds is a steal, especially with how good the Jets D-line and secondary has been.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change