After nearly a full season of tracking out our team's favorite MLB "Home Run Picks" in our BetSided "Daily Dinger" segment each day, we're back at it again, but with a twist.
For every NFL game taking place each week on the schedule, our team goes through all the matchups, and sorts out which player they believe is most likely to get into the end zone at any point.
Here are our favorites for Week 3 of the NFL season..
Be sure to bookmark our standings throughout the year HERE as well.
Best Anytime Touchdown Picks For Week 3
Josh Allen (+120) - Buffalo Bills vs. Miami Dolphins
Allen only needed one carry against the Titans on Monday Night Football to secure a 41-7 victory, but this is a different animal heading to Miami to face the Dolphins. With the highest total on the board this week, 52.5, expect points in bunches in this AFC East showdown, and I like Allen’s mobility inside the 10 to get in the end zone.
In a competitive matchup in Week 1, Allen carried the ball 10 times for 56 yards and a touchdown, so we’ve seen this story before. Not to mention, last season he ran plenty against Miami: 13 carries, 90 yards and a TD. - Reed Wallach
Dawson Knox (+220) - Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
The Bills and Dolphins are expected to play a high-scoring affair on Sunday, and that means we have several options to find an anytime touchdown scorer.
While Stefon Diggs dominated in Week 2 for Buffalo, I think another Bills pass catcher, tight end Dawson Knox, has value to score.
Knox was a key red zone target for Buffalo last season, and he rebounded from a poor Week 1 performance by catching four of his five targets for 41 yards in Week 2. The Dolphins struggled mightily to deal with Baltimore Ravens tight end Mark Andrew (nine catches, 104 yards, TD) in Week 2.
If Miami tries to sell out to stop Diggs with Xavien Howard, Knox could be a beneficiary. – Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Amon-Ra St. Brown (+110) - Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings
It’s time to start treating Amon-Ra St. Brown with the respect he deserves as one of the NFL’s best wide receivers. The stretch he’s been on over his last eight games is unparalleled, not only across the league but across history.
He’s the only receiver ever to catch at least eight passes and a TD in six consecutive games, he’s coming off a monstrous two-TD performance, and he’s still plus-odds against a secondary that Philly just torched? Come on now.
As long as oddsmakers disrespect St. Brown, I’ll keep betting on him to score every week. So far, so good.
With double-digit targets in eight straight games, he’s the focal point of Detroit’s passing attack. In what should be a shootout in Minnesota, betting St. Brown to find the end zone is the easiest wager you’ll make all week. - Joe Summers
Dameon Pierce (+160) - Houston Texans vs. Chicago Bears
Pierce’s touches went up from Week 1 to Week 2 and the Texans smartly got Rex Burkhead off the field. Burkhead was the leader in rushes in Week 1, but didn’t get a carry in Week 2. The Texans have only scored two touchdowns this year and both went O.J. Howard against the Colts. They are bound to score on the ground eventually this year and I’m confident that the goal line touches are going to Pierce.
The Packers ran all over the Bears a week ago and ripped off 5.3 yards per carry. This will be Pierce’s coming out party and could be the last time he will be plus odds as an anytime touchdown scorer. - Josh Yourish
Kyle Pitts (+220) - Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks
After all of the scrutiny that Arthur Smith has received from the media this week about Kyle Pitts not getting enough targets or receptions, I think we’re going to see him targeted early and often against the Seahawks. It’s about time that he gets catches and returns to the end zone.
It’s going to help that the Seahawks haven’t done a great job defending against tight ends this season. Through the first two weeks, they’re allowing the 8th most fantasy points to opposing tight ends. Kyle Pitts gets back on track in Week 3. - Iain MacMillan
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.
Jeff Wilson Jr. (+135) – San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos
The 49ers, in the blink of an eye, have lost two running backs in two weeks.
With Jeff Wilson Jr. taking over the backfield, this leaves a perfect opportunity to back him to score. His carries went from nine in Week 1 to 18 in Week 2. Trey Lance’s injury also raises the floor for Wilson Jr.’s touches.
He’s going to be involved and while Deebo Samuel will get some carries, it’s clear that Wilson Jr. is going to do a lot of the heavy lifting. – Donnavan Smoot
You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.
Jimmy Garoppolo (+1100) - San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos
My top anytime touchdown bet is Jamaal Williams of the Detroit Lions at +160, but my FAVORITE anytime touchdown bet is Jimmy G in Denver at massive odds.
One of my favorite stats to determine touchdown variance is by looking at carries from inside the five-yard line. Antonio Gibson of the Washington Commanders leads all players with four carries through two games, accounting for one score. Then, four players are tied with three carries: Jamaal Williams (Lions, 2 TDs), Joe Mixon (Bengals, 0 TDs), Jalen Hurts (Eagles, 2 TDs), and Jimmy “Friggin” Garoppolo (49ers, 1 TD).
That’s right, in less than a full game, the Niners' once backup quarterback is tied for the second-most goalline carries in the NFL.
The 49ers don’t have to sell me on their propensity to run the ball, and in a loud environment in Denver, why worry about a fumbled handoff or potential turnover near the goalline?
I love, love, love this play for Sunday Night Football. - Ben Heisler
Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!