Bet These 3 Bowl Games Before the Lines Move

Pittsburgh Panthers running back Rodney Hammond Jr.
Pittsburgh Panthers running back Rodney Hammond Jr. / Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

42 bowl games make up the 2021 College Football bowl calendar, starting Dec. 18 and concluding with the National Championship on Jan. 10.

There are plenty of games to bet, but its advantageous to get in your bets early so you can beat the market moving against you and getting the best number.

I have identified three bets that I see as moving away from the current line at WynnBET Sportsbook, and possibly though some key numbers. For a bonus pick, make sure to listen to Monday's Bet & Breakfast below!

New Mexico Bowl: UTEP (+13.5) vs. Fresno State

Handicapping bowl games has a lot to do with focusing on which team will be more motivated to be in the game itself. For most, the season is over and some players aren't excited about a bowl game. Whether it's the meaningless game and excess practice, or plans to trasnfer or go pro, some players don't even play. For some teams though, this is a great way to end the year and there is extreme motivation.

In this case, the Bulldogs enter this bowl after a strong season, but won't have their dynamic starting quarterback, Jake Haener, who is transferring and head coach Kalen DeBoer, who took the Washington job. So, not much to get excited for in Fresno. To most, their season is probably over.

Meanwhile, the Miners are in their first bowl game since 2014 after a 7-5 year behind a stout defense that is top 20 in success rate. This is the biggest game for UTEP in nearly a decade, you know they will give their best effort.

I'd play this down to +11 with questions around which Fresno State team shows up.

Camellia Bowl - Georgia State (-3.5) vs. Ball State

I make the Panthers north of a touchdown favorites in this one, so I'm more than happy to get this below -4.

Georgia State comes is peaking at the right team, hanging tough with 11-1 Sun Belt winner Louisiana-Lafayette on the road before beating Coastal Carolina on the road, 42-40. After that, they took care of Arkansas State and Troy in impressive fashion.

This is a ground-based offense that is going to run all over the Ball State defensive line that is outside the top 100 in defensive line yards and 120th in defensive success rate on the year.

I think this spread closes higher and that the Panthers dispose of Ball State, who is just 6-6 on the year and not the same team that won the MAC a year ago.

Peach Bowl - Pitt (-4) vs. Michigan State

This is a matchup nightmare for Sparty, who was gashed by an explosive Ohio State passing offense a few weeks ago in Columbus. Now, the team faces another devastating passing game in Pitt, who is led by senior quarterback Kenny Pickett.

Pitt is riding high after winning the ACC Championship Game this past Saturday and would love to send out a veteran team on a high note. Meanwhile, we could see someone like Kenneth Walker opt out of the bowl game with low motivation for Michigan State to be there and the running back's eyes on the future.

Even if Walker plays, the Michigan State secondary is going to struggle against Pickett and company, while the defensive line that dominated Wake Forrest in the ACC title game gives the Spartans more trouble.

I'm laying it with Pitt, who has a ton more motivation in the Peach Bowl.

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