Bets to Avoid Making Ahead of the Super Bowl
By Peter Dewey
Super Bowl 56 between the Los Angeles Rams and Cincinnati Bengals is arguably the biggest betting event of the sports calendar, but there’s some things that you need to do to come away with some cash in this matchup.
It’s easy to get wrapped up in the massive amount of props that are offered during the Super Bowl, but here are a few things to avoid doing when betting on Super Bowl 56. Plus, I’ve got a pair of prop bets that I’d personally stay away from in this matchup.
Don’t Bet a Massive Parlay on Super Bowl 56
While betting a parlay can lead to increased odds and an increased payout, it is not the best way to become a profitable sports bettor.
Parlays are enticing, but it is much easier to become profitable if you bet on props and the game individually, especially if you are planning to make several picks. No matter how much research you do, there’s a chance that something can happen that was unexpected.
For example, who would have thought in Super Bowl 55 that the Kansas City Chiefs would fail to score a touchdown?
I’m not saying that you should completely avoid all parlays, but don’t make it your biggest/only bet.
You Don’t Have to Bet on Every Prop
The Super Bowl can be overwhelming simply because of the sheer number of props that are offered. You can bet on the color of the gatorade bath at the end of the game, the national anthem, the coin toss and so much more.
We have you covered with guides to bet on those props, but I’m here to tell you that it is not a requirement to bet on them all!
Rather, I’d advise any sports bettor to only make picks that they are comfortable/confident in making. Don’t bet on a prop for the sake of betting on it, especially if you don’t feel like you know enough to make the pick.
Novelty props like this are intriguing, as are regular player props, but make sure you do the necessary research to feel confident about your picks, rather than just putting a guess in on a large amount of plays.
3 Bets to Avoid Making in Rams vs. Bengals
All this being said, there are actually a couple of bets that I am personally staying away from in this year’s Super Bowl.
Cooper Kupp Anytime Touchdown Scorer (-200)
Cooper Kupp has scored a touchdown in eight of his last nine games and five straight contests, but I’m staying away from him at -200 odds in Super Bowl 56.
As I mentioned earlier, crazy things can happen in the Super Bowl, and we watched the Bengals hold Tyreek Hill without a catch in the second half of the AFC Championship Game.
Mike Hilton, Eli Apple and Chidobe Awuzie have played well this postseason, and there’s very little value in taking Kupp to score at -200. I’m not saying there’s no chance that Kupp finds the end zone, but I just don’t see the value in this (you need to risk $200 to win $100) when touchdowns are harder to come by than receptions or yards for Kupp.
Joe Burrow OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-165) and Matthew Stafford OVER 1.5 Touchdown Passes (-240)
Matthew Stafford has cleared this line in five straight games, and Joe Burrow has cleared it in four of five games so why should we stay away in this matchup?
The Bengals and Rams have been fantastic defensively this postseason, and while I’m not bold enough to take the under on these props, the over is way too juiced for me to risk taking it at -165 and -240 odds.
Cincy has allowed just five touchdown passes this postseason, and three of those came from Patrick Mahomes in the AFC Championship Game before he was shut down in the second half.
Meanwhile, the Rams have allowed just three passing scores in three playoff games, with Jimmy Garoppolo shockingly being the one quarterback to throw for multiple scores against them.
The total in this game has been creeping down at WynnBET, so I’m going to stay away from any touchdown passing props in this game unless the juice comes down on the over. While I think at least one of them does go over, the value simply isn’t there.