Betting on Which NFL QB Will Throw 5 TDs in One Game First

Tom Brady is back for another season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
Tom Brady is back for another season with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. / Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports

The NFL season is almost here, so it's time to place some futures bets.

If you're looking for a fun one, WynnBET Sportsbook is offering odds on which quarterback will be the first to throw five passing touchdowns in a single game.

Let's take a look at the top 20 quarterbacks on the odds list to achieve this feat, and then I'll break down my prediction for who will cash this ticket.

Who Will Be the First to Throw 5 TDs in a Single NFL Game in 2022?

  • Justin Herbert +500
  • Patrick Mahomes +500
  • Russell Wilson +500
  • Tom Brady +500
  • Josh Allen +600
  • Matt Ryan +600
  • Aaron Rodgers +700
  • Dak Prescott +800
  • Jameis WInston +1000
  • Joe Burrow +1000
  • Kirk Cousins +1000
  • Kyler Murray +1000
  • Matthew Stafford +1200
  • Derek Carr +1500
  • Carson Wentz +1800
  • Trey Lance +2000
  • Jalen Hurts +2500
  • Ryan Tannehill +2800
  • Jared Goff +3500
  • Deshaun Watson +5000

In order to throw for five touchdowns in a single game, an offense needs to be passing at a high volume. So, let's start off by looking at which teams topped the NFL last season in pass play percentage.

  1. Buccaneers 66.46%
  2. Steelers 63.44%
  3. Jets 63.32%
  4. Raiders 62.88%
  5. Chargers 62.50%

So, the Buccaneers top the list, throwing the ball more than 3% more than the next closest team. That makes Tom Brady the immediate front runner.

Brady also threw for five touchdowns in a single game on two separate occasions last season. Both times came early in the 2021 campaign. He threw for five touchdowns in Week 2 against the Atlanta Falcons, and then again in Week 5 against the Miami Dolphins.

This season, the Buccaneers open their schedule with a Sunday Night Football game against the Dallas Cowboys. It's a rematch of last year's game, in which Brady threw for four touchdowns, one short of the magic number.

All of these signs point to Tom Brady being the man to bet on.

Pick: Tom Brady +500

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.