Bills vs. Bengals Best Betting Trends for Monday Night Football (Will Bengals' ATS Dominance End on MNF?)

It's all hands on deck for the battle of the top spot in the AFC tonight when the Cincinnati Bengals host the Buffalo Bills on Monday Night Football.

A win for the Bills keeps them in the driver's seat for the No. 1 seed in the conference, as the road to the Super Bowl would go through Buffalo if they win out (or the Kansas City Chiefs lose to the Las Vegas Raiders in Week 18). If Cincinnati wins, the Chiefs would then be the new top-seeded team, but the Bengals would have the tiebreaker over the Bills, moving them into the No. 2 spot, and could catapult to No. 1 if the Chiefs lose next week.

Here's a look at the latest odds for tonight:

This is just the second time in Monday Night Football history where two teams holding winning streaks of six games or more meet up, and the play of the quarterbacks are a huge reason for their success. Between Josh Allen and Joe Burrow, the two stud signal-callers have combined for 78 combined touchdowns this year; tying the most combined TDs entering a game in the history of the league

For those looking for betting plays for the game, I've put together my best bet, along with my favorite player props, and anytime touchdown scorers and same game parlays here.

With so many notable trends to sort through, I've taken out the guess work and put together my three favorite betting trends to consider ahead of tonight's primetime matchup:

Bengals Are a Juggernaut Covering the Spread

The Bengals have been the league's best covering team in the NFL, going 12-3-0 against the spread (ATS), winning games by a margin of victory of 5.7 points, and hold an ATS +/- of +2.2 this year.

At home, they've been even better, going 5-1-0 ATS for a cover percentage of 83.3%, and a margin of victory of 10.7 points and an ATS +/- of +6.3.

However, those numbers aren't just a reflection of this season. Going all the way back to 2020, no team has been better than the Bengals ATS, covering at a very nice rate of just under 69%.

History Suggests Underdog Could be in Trouble

Over the course of the week, the odds have slowly shifted in favor of the Bills, moving from -1 all the way to a consensus -2.5. While Bengals bettors may be thrilled that they can grab their team at a better number, it doesn't bode particularly well in this spot in the past.

Via Evan Abrams of TAN, this is just the ninth time in the last 20 years that two teams with a winning percentage of 80% or more play each other head-to-head in primetime during the regular season.

When a team with a winning percentage of 80% or greater closes as an underdog, they've gone both 0-5 and 0-5 ATS in this situation.

Road Favorites Lead to Cashing Under Bets

Unless a massive swing occurs between now and kickoff, it appears the Bills will close as road favorites in Cincinnati tonight.

Should that be the case, bettors may want to flock to the under based off recent history.

When the road team is favored in 2022, unders have gone 61-33-1. When favored by a field goal or less, unders have hit at a 77% clip (24-7-1).

Despite the Bills' terrific offense, they've actually been one of the best UNDER teams in the NFL this year, going 10-5 for a 66.7% clip. Same thing goes for Cincinnati, who are 9-5-1; hitting at a 64.3% rate.

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.