Bills vs. Patriots Best Prop Bets for Thursday Night Football (Expect Big Game from Stefon Diggs)

The Bills and Patriots, who played on Thanksgiving last week, meet up for another Thursday night game this week. This is going to be a crucial game for the AFC East standards, but let’s put our focus on the prop market. 

There’s going to be a lot of talent on the field, but who should we trust?

Best Prop Bets For Bills-Patriots

• Stefon Diggs OVER 80.5 Receiving Yards
• Josh Allen OVER 42.5 Rushing Yards
• Rhamondre Stevenson UNDER 61.5 Rushing Yards

Stefon Diggs OVER 80.5 Receiving Yards

Diggs has missed this line in his last two games, and I’m going to back him to break out of his slump. He’s cleared this line in six of his last eight games and is always a threat to have a big game. He did go over this mark in the second regular season game against the Patriots last year, which gives me hope he can do it again. 

Josh Allen OVER 42.5 Rushing Yards

Now that Allen’s elbow is okay, the Bills feel safe running him again. He had 10 rushes for 78 yards against the Lions. While he might not see double-digit attempts, Allen feeling comfortable enough to take off and run is a great sign for this prop. He’s hit the over in four of his last five games, so let’s keep backing him. 

Rhamondre Stevenson UNDER 61.5 Rushing Yards

Stevenson is starting to see his work in the passing game, which has taken away from his rushing floor. He’s hit the UNDER in four of his last five games and even saw less than 10 carries last week. With the Bills having one of the best run defenses in the league and the game script potentially not being favorable to Stevenson, we have to fade him here. 

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.