Bills vs. Steelers Best Prop Bets for NFL Week 5 (Allen To Put On MVP Performance)

Oct 2, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA;  Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs as Baltimore
Oct 2, 2022; Baltimore, Maryland, USA; Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen (17) runs as Baltimore / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
facebooktwitterreddit

The Steelers are the biggest underdogs they’ve been in over 50 years, coming into this game as 14-point underdogs to the Buffalo Bills. They’re also starting rookie quarterback Kenny Pickett to go against one of the best teams in the league. 

While we all think we know what is going to happen on the scoreboard, let’s make some predictions in the prop market. 

Best Prop Bets For Steelers vs. Bills Week 5

  • Josh Allen OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards
  • George Pickens OVER 38.5 Receiving Yards
  • Najee Harris OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards

Josh Allen OVER 40.5 Rushing Yards

The Pittsburgh Steelers are bottom 10 in the league in opponent rushing yards per game. With Josh Allen being the focal point of the Bills’ rushing offense,

I like this prop a lot. He’s cleared this game in every game except for one this season – and the MVP front runner only had 1 carry in that game. As long as the Bills are running Josh Allen, it’s okay to trust him on the ground. 

George Pickens OVER 40.5 Receiving Yards

When Kenny Pickett came into the game, he wasn’t looking at Diontae Johnson or 6’6” Chase Claypool. He was looking for George Pickens. The young receiver finished the game with 8 targets, 7 catches and 102 yards. It was clear that he and Pickett had a rapport, and I expect that to carry over. 

Pickens has cleared this line in his last two games. He’s showing up to the party and even if it’s a little delayed, he’s here. I got this number at 38.5, but I like 40.5 as well.

Najee Harris OVER 14.5 Receiving Yards

Harris didn’t receive one target last week. After seeing 11 in the first three games, he’s sure to see at least one this week. Pickett is going to get into the game against one of the best defenses in the league. Harris will be the checkdown option for him and should be a security blanket for the young rookie. 


You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.