Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction and Pick for Friday, June 24 (Manoah Bounces Back)

The 39-30 Toronto Blue Jays head to Milwaukee to open a three-game series with the 40-32 Brewers tonight at 8:10 PM EST.

After dropping consecutive series to the White Sox and Yankees, the Blue Jays are 2-5 over their last seven but send Cy Young candidate Alek Manoah to the mound. Manoah gave up four runs to New York in his worst start of the season last week, but on the year owns an incredible 8-2 record and 2.00 ERA.

Milwaukee turns to Adrian Houser, who has a 5.40 ERA in June. He's been impressive at home this season though the Brewers are only 2-6 in his last eight starts.

Can Houser continue his strong play at home or will Manoah bounce back to snap Toronto's skid?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to find the value in this Blue Jays vs Brewers matchup:

Blue Jays vs Brewers Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

• Blue Jays -1.5 (+112)
• Brewers +1.5 (-135)

Moneyline:

• Blue Jays: -140
• Brewers: +130

Total:

• 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)

Blue Jays vs Brewers Prediction and Pick

Toronto will have a bit of a lighter lineup today with George Springer missing from injury, but the Blue Jays still have a massive advantage on the mound. Adrian Houser taking on Alek Manoah is like when you raise the difficulty on a video game. You were great at Pro, but this is All-Madden we're talking about and Houser is in over his head.

Houser was excellent early in the season despite discouraging underlying metrics. We've seen regression hit him recently, as his ERA spiked from 2.53 in April to 4.68 in May before rising to 5.40 in June so far. Over his last five starts, Houser's ERA sits at 6.43.

Compare that to Manoah, who sits at +600 to win the Cy Young at WynnBET and didn't allow a run in two straight starts before struggling against the Yankees.

He's in the 92nd percentile in expected ERA and 98th in average exit velocity while not giving up a home run yet this month. Dating back to last season, Toronto is 20-5 in Manoah's last 25 starts.

The Blue Jays are sixth in OPS against right-handed pitchers over the last three weeks while the Brewers are 21st. With the offensive advantage and pitching advantage, I love Toronto in this matchup.

Houser has been poor of late and walked four batters in his last start. Look for the Brewers to fall to 2-7 over his last nine starts as Manoah dazzles in a bounce-back performance.

Pick: Blue Jays -1.5 (+112)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.