Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction and Odds for Sunday, June 26 (Take Value With Milwaukee at Home)

Milwaukee Brewers third baseman Mike Brosseau receives an ovation from his teammates on Saturday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays.
Milwaukee Brewers third baseman Mike Brosseau receives an ovation from his teammates on Saturday vs. the Toronto Blue Jays. / Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Milwaukee Brewers look to avoid their second consecutive series loss at home on Sunday afternoon when they host the rubber game vs. the Toronto Blue Jays at American Family Field.

Milwaukee squeaked by with a 5-4 victory on Saturday, as last year's NL Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes held the Blue Jays to just three runs in 7.2 innings, striking out nine. Saturday was also just the second time all season that closer Josh Hader allowed a run.

Today, Chi Chi Gonzalez makes his fourth start of the year for the Brewers opposed by right-hander Jose Berríos. Both starters have struggled to find their footing this year, and with a high total projected at the sportsbooks, can they prove bettors and the sportsbooks wrong?

Here are the latest odds for Sunday's matinee over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Blue Jays -1.5 (+105)
  • Brewers +1.5 (-125)


  • Blue Jays -150
  • Brewers +140


  • 9.5 (OVER -105 | UNDER -115)

Blue Jays vs. Brewers Prediction and Pick

I know Gonzalez owns an ERA of 7.36 through three starts this year, and that's hard to sugarcoat in any capacity. But should Milwaukee be this big of a dog at home in this matchup with Berríos going on the other side? I'm not so sure.

Gonzalez has gone just 11 innings in his three starts this year. He doesn't miss bats with a K/9 of 4.91, and he's been destroyed by the long ball; allowing 2.45 HR/9 this season. In each start, Gonzalez has given up three earned runs in each one, so there's been some element of consistency to his game.

Now, let's look a little closer at Berríos and see if he deserves such a decisive advantage.

He's coming off a loss to the struggling White Sox where he gave up six earned runs on nine hits and three home runs in just four innings. He's allowed seven home runs over his last five starts, allowing 18 runs over those outings.

He's got an ERA of 5.11, and an expected ERA (xERA) of 6.21! Gonzalez's ERA is 7.36, but his xERA is 5.51.

Who should be the underdog now?

Ultimately, neither of these two pitchers are all that good, but I'll buy the value on Milwaukee at home in what should be a closer matchup than the oddsmakers believe it to be.

LEAN: Brewers ML +140

Follow all of Ben's betting plays in real-time HERE!