Blue Jays vs. Mariners prediction and odds for Sunday, July 23

Alek Manoah's season has been a nightmare and he won't wake up from it today in Seattle.
Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Alek Manoah (6)
Toronto Blue Jays starting pitcher Alek Manoah (6) / John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports

It looked like maybe Alek Manoah was fixed when he had a great start on July 7, but last time out was a disaster just like his entire season and now the Toronto Blue Jays will turn to Manoah against the Seattle Mariners who are going for the sweep at home. The Blue Jays are 54-45 after dropping the first two in this series and the Mariners have used this series to get to 50-48. 

Bryan Woo will counter Manoah and Woo is 1-2 with a 4.74 ERA for Seattle. Manoah is 2-8 with a 6.18 ERA in 15 starts. Which version of Manoah are we going to get in Seattle today? Let’s get into the odds and see if we can find out. 

Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds, run line and total

Blue Jays vs. Mariners prediction and pick

Spoiler alert: we’re getting the bad Manoah.

He’s been bad all year, except for one start back from pitching in Rookie Ball. The confidence from that outing didn’t last long and it turns out we should trust a 14 start sample size over six good innings against the Detroit Tigers. Manoah faced the Padres last time out and allowed four runs over three innings with five walks and no strikeouts. The guy just can’t miss any bats this season, so he’s not going to just suddenly dominate a Seattle lineup that just scored nine runs yesterday. 

On the other side, Bryan Woo has been really good in his rookie season for Seattle. Woo had an awful last trip to the mound with seven runs, six of those earned, allowed in 3.1 innings. However, he has an impressive 3.89 FIP in large part because of his 47 strikeouts to just 12 walks in 38.0 innings of work. That’s something that is very reliable and I fully expect him to have a bounce back start in this one. 

I expect Woo is going to bounce back from a rough outing, but Manoah is not, so I’m happy to take Seattle to complete the sweep at home today. 

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change