Braves vs. Astros: World Series Game 2 Home Run Derby Roundtable
By Ben Heisler
Time for another edition of 'Home Run Derby:' Wagering Edition!
Ahead of tonight's Game 2 World Series matchup between the Atlanta Braves and Houston Astros our team at BetSided is swinging for the fences and looking to cash in on who will go yard this evening from Minute Maid Park in Houston.
The Astros are down 1-0 in the series after a dominant 6-2 Braves victory in Game 1, but the oddsmakers at WynnBET still have them as slight favorites (-111, so bet $111 to win $100) to win Game 2 tonight on the moneyline, Meanwhile, the Braves are +103 underdogs in Game 2.
Atlanta holds -150 odds to win the World Series, needing three more wins to go and taking back home field advantage with their Game 1 victory.
Left-hander Max Fried (1-1, 3.78) gets the ball for Atlanta tonight against righty José Urquidy (0-1, 27.00 ERA), who has only pitched once during the postseason and struggled mightily. Back on October 18 vs. the Red Sox, Urquidy lasted just 1.2 innings, giving up five earned runs in 1.2 innings.
Fried has made three starts in the postseason, but his last outing was his worst so far in the playoffs; giving up five earned runs including two home runs to the Dodgers.
Let's go around the horn and predict which Braves or Astros player we expect to leave the park!
Braves vs. Astros: World Series Game 2 Picks to Hit a Home Run
- Jose Altuve (+405)
- Yuli Gurriel (TBD)
Jose Altuve (+405)
Altuve already has three home runs this postseason and that comes after he hit six homers in the month of September.
The Astros second baseman hit 19 of his 31 home runs this season at home in the regular season, and he always seems to give the Astros a lift, as he did in the Boston series, when their backs are against the wall.
It’s not the best value on the board, as Carlos Correa is +500 and Alex Bregman is +510, but I think Altuve has the best shot to go deep in this matchup. -- Peter Dewey
I don't know if its discrimination against us short guys or what, but Jose Altuve's odds to hit a home run are continuously some of the longest on the board despite him hitting the second most dingers on the Astros in the regular season with 31.
Only Yordan Alvarez hit more (33), but yet his odds are set at +365. As an added bonus, Altuve has already hit three home runs this postseason.
His bat has been hot. Love the bet at +405 odds. -- Iain MacMillan
Yuli Gurriel (TBD)
Gurriel has quietly had an outstanding postseason for the Astros, hitting .349 with a home run and eight RBI's.
He only hit 15 home runs this season, but eight out of those 15 came against left-handed pitching where he slugged .530 this year, compared to .427 vs right-handers. He's also on a tear at the plate with a 10-game hitting streak in the postseason, with six multi-hit games in that stretch.
His Statcast data isn't great for a home run pick, but because of his consistency at the plate, I like his chances to run into a Fried fastball and turn it into the short Crawford boxes in left field.
Editor's Note* - Gurriel's home run odds have since been taken down by WynnBET but will be back up shortly. If Gurriel is not posted, I also like Jorge Soler (+360) vs. Urquidy. Soler tends to be one of the streakiest hitters in baseball and is coming off a two-hit game with a leadoff home run.