Braves vs. Nationals Prediction and Odds for Monday, June 13 (Back Atlanta to Stay Hot in D.C.)

The Braves have won three straight behind Ian Anderson as they take on the Nationals today
The Braves have won three straight behind Ian Anderson as they take on the Nationals today / Todd Kirkland/GettyImages

The Atlanta Braves head to Washington to open up a three-game series with the Nationals tonight at 7:05 PM EST, looking for 12 consecutive wins.

Atlanta sends Ian Anderson to the mound, bringing a 5-3 record and 4.53 ERA into the contest. He's pitched well on the road, compiling a 3.60 ERA, and his underlying metrics suggest he's been better than his box score ones indicate.

Josiah Gray gets the call for Washington after throwing five scoreless innings against Miami in his last start. After spending most of the season as one of MLB's worst starters, Gray has allowed just two runs over his last three appearances spanning 16 innings.

Can Gray's improvement continue or will the Braves stay red-hot?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help us find the value in this Braves vs Nationals matchup:

Braves vs Nationals Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Braves -1.5 (+100)
  • Nationals +1.5 (-120)


  • Braves -155
  • Nationals +145


  • 9.5 (Over +100 /Under -120 )

Braves vs Nationals Prediction and Pick

The Braves' lineup is rolling, ranking third in OPS over the last three weeks as they rattled off 11 straight wins. They've won six of eight behind Ian Anderson, including three straight, and are well-positioned to continue their winning ways behind him.

Anderson's box score numbers aren't impressive, as he has a 4.53 ERA, but his 3.74 expected ERA implies he's been a bit better than that. He seems to be rounding into form and I think this is one of the last times we'll be able to buy low on him moving forward.

Washington has been great at home recently, winning six of seven, but their wins have come against the Angels (lost 14 straight), the Rockies (always terrible on the road), and the Brewers (lost eight straight). Atlanta will be a gigantic step up in competition and their lineup should find success against Josiah Gray.

I'll admit, Gray's last three outings have been impressive. But he still has a 4.67 expected ERA and ranks in the third percentile in barrel percentage and 20th in walk rate. If you can be hit hard and struggle with command, good lineups like the Braves' will take advantage.

I'll roll with Atlanta to stay hot behind Anderson and remind the Nationals what facing a quality team looks like.

Pick: Braves RL -1.5 (+100)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.