Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Odds for Saturday, September 3 (MadBum Looking More Like BADBum in Arizona)

Madison Bumgarner has not allowed less than four earned runs in a start since July 23 vs. the Washington Nationals.
Madison Bumgarner has not allowed less than four earned runs in a start since July 23 vs. the Washington Nationals. / Rob Schumacher/The Republic / USA TODAY

The Milwaukee Brewers keep falling further and further out of the National League wild card race; and look to last year's NL Cy Young winner in Corbin Burnes to save them in Arizona tonight against the Diamondbacks.

Milwaukee's lost two straight and four consecutive games on the road. Despite being seven games above .500, the Brewers are just 34-36 away from home. Meanwhile, the Diamondbacks have been the opposite; 36-33 at home, but are five games under .500 for the season.

Arizona's been hot; 8-2 straight up in their last 10 games; with one of the hottest offenses in the league. Can they keep it going and make it three straight over Milwaukee?

Here are the latest odds from Chase Field:

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line and Total

Brewers vs. Diamondbacks Prediction and Pick

Madison Bumgarner used to be one of the most feared pitchers in baseball.

I was there! In Game 7 of the 2014 World Series between the San Francisco Giants and Kansas City Royals at Kauffman Stadium, Bumgarner came out of the bullpen and never left; shutting down the Royals' hopes for a ring as the Giants won their third World Series in six years.

How the mighty have fallen.

Over his last six starts, Bumgarner has not allowed less than four earned runs. His ERA during that stretch is 8.63, striking out less than six batters per nine innings. He's given up six home runs, including four in his last three games.

While this should in theory help a Brewers offense that's been outscored by 18 by opponents in their last 10 games, the question is whether Corbin Burnes is back to where he needs to be. The overall numbers are great: 2.84 ERA with a strikeout percentage of 30.9%, but he hasn't been sharp in his last two starts, allowing 9 earned runs in 9.2 innings to the L.A. Dodgers and Pittsburgh Pirates; with an ERA of 8.38 and a Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 6.74.

Burnes also faces a Diamondbacks offense that's ripping the cover off the ball over the last week, ranking top 5 in batting average, and top 7 in wOBA and wRC+.

Milwaukee's inconsistencies on offense, along with Burnes' last few starts scare me from jumping on their run line, so with both pitchers struggling, and Arizona's offense looking good, the OVER 7.5 feels like the ride side.

Follow all of Ben Heisler's betting plays in real-time HERE