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Brewers vs. Giants Prediction and Odds for Thursday, July 14 (Meet the "Limbo" of MLB Totals for Thursday Night)

By Ben Heisler

San Francisco Giants SP Carlos Rodón could be dealt if the Giants continue to struggle headed towards the early August MLB Trade Deadline.
San Francisco Giants SP Carlos Rodón could be dealt if the Giants continue to struggle headed towards the early August MLB Trade Deadline. / Thearon W. Henderson/GettyImages
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A year ago today, the San Francisco Giants were 57-32; sporting the best record in the Major Leagues with a 30-13 record in their home park.

This offseason, they added a Cy Young award contender in Carlos Rodón in the American League who's put up similar numbers from a season ago, and somehow they're 45-42 and in third place in the NL West.

The Giants have won two straight, but are still hobbling to the finish line of the first half as they welcome last year's NL Cy Young winner Corbin Burnes and the Milwaukee Brewers to town to start a four-game series.

Here are the latest odds for the final MLB matchup of the night over at WynnBET Sportsbook.

Brewers vs. Giants Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Brewers: -1.5 (+165)
  • Giants: +1.5 (-200)

Moneyline:

  • Brewers: -104
  • Giants -106

Total:

  • 6.5 (OVER +100 | UNDER -120)

Brewers vs. Giants Prediction and Pick

Tonight's pitching matchup of Burnes vs Rodón has oddsmakers doing their equivalent of the limbo: "how low can you go?" 6.5 is by far the lowest on the slate, with the juice favoring the under at -120.

It's easy to understand why. These are two of the top pitchers not just in the National League, but all of baseball. Burnes leads the slate with a 2.20 ERA, an 11.34 K/9, and is second behind Astros left-hander Framber Valdez in innings pitched. Rodón has nearly matched him stride-for-stride with a 2.70; matching his expected ERA (Burnes' is 2.68), and just as importantly, Rodón has been magnificent in keeping the ball in the park with a HR/9 of just 0.36. Only Kevin Gausman of the Blue Jays has been better at 0.20.

Ultimately, I'll lean on Rodón and the Giants to make it three in a row, with San Francisco's lefty's dominance at home this season. His K/9 at Oracle Park is a tick under 13/9 with a 2.08 ERA. As for Burnes, while his ERA is under 2 away from home, the overlying metrics go down quite a bit, as he misses far less bats away from American Family Life Park.

LEAN: Giants ML -106

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