Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction and Odds for Saturday, June 11 (Runline Value on Milwaukee with Lauer on Mound)
By Matt De Saro
Both the Milwaukee Brewers and Washington Nationals need to pump the brakes on their current slumps.
Heading into this series opener last night, the Brewers had lost six straight and went 1-8 in their last nine games. That terrible run leaves the Brewers neck and neck with the Cardinals for the NL Central lead. The Nats, meanwhile, lost three in a row and went 3-7 in the ten games leading up to this series. They are a far worse team overall so this losing streak is understandable. Still, it makes picking a winner here tough.
Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of consensus sportsbooks:
Brewers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, and Total
Run Line
- Brewers: -1.5 (+110)
- Nationals: +1.5 (-130)
Moneyline:
- Brewers: -140
- Nationals: +120
Total:
- Total 9 (Over -105/Under -115)
Brewers vs. Nationals Prediction and Pick
While there are a lot of similarities between these two teams over the last week, the Brewers have a massive edge today. Eric Lauer will make his 11th start for Milwaukee and boasts a 2.38 ERA and 1.11 WHIP over 56 ⅔ innings of work. This is the second time this year that Lauer will face the Nationals after blanking the over-even innings in mid-May. His career numbers against the current Nationals are solid too with a .213 batting average and just one home run in 67 at-bats.
Meanwhile, the Nationals are still hoping that Patrick Corbin can come around after posting a 5.97 ERA in May. But after allowing 10 earned runs in his last 10 ⅓ innings, it’s clear to me that there is no light at the end of the tunnel for Corbin. At 32 years old, it’s getting to be about that time for the veteran lefty.
The big difference in this series is that the Brewers are a good team playing poorly while the Nationals are terrible and will continue to be until the end of the season.
Pick: Brewers -1.5 (+110)
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