Brewers vs. Padres Prediction and Odds for Tuesday, May 24 (Corbin Burnes Bounces Brewers Back)

Corbin Burnes hopes to bounce back and end the Padres winning streak today
Corbin Burnes hopes to bounce back and end the Padres winning streak today / Stacy Revere/GettyImages

The 28-14 San Diego Padres notched a 10th inning 3-2 victory in the first game of this series and hope for a sixth straight win as they host the 26-16 Milwaukee Brewers tonight at 9:40 p.m. EST.

Milwaukee had plenty of chances, taking a 2-1 lead into the seventh inning before loading the bases with nobody out in the 10th yet coming up empty. The Brewers will send Corbin Burnes to the mound coming off his worst start of the season, scattering four runs over six innings against the Braves. Burnes had thrown six straight quality starts prior to that outing and sports a 2.26 ERA on the year.

Blake Snell gets the call for the Padres in just his second start of 2022. He gave up three runs in 3.2 innings to Atlanta last week and struggled with command, walking three and never looking comfortable.

Can Snell shake the rust off to keep San Diego's winning streak alive or will Burnes bounce back to help Milwaukee prevail on the road?

Let's check out the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook to help pick a winner in this Brewers vs Padres matchup:

Brewers vs Padres Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Brewers -1.5 (+150)
  • Padres +1.5 (-180)


  • Brewers: -129
  • Padres: +119


  • 6.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Brewers vs Padres Prediction and Pick

I know Blake Snell is a former Cy Young winner, but how on earth is he almost even money against Corbin Burnes? Snell labored through 3.2 innings in his lone start of the year and struggled with his command. He deserves respect for the career he's put together, but 2022 Blake Snell is not 2018 Blake Snell.

Meanwhile, Burnes has a 1.80 ERA in four road starts and is in the 98th percentile in whiff percentage and 90th in walk rate. The Padres average nearly nine strikeouts per game already, and now they face one of the premier strikeout pitchers in baseball. Burnes should have no problem limiting San Diego's lineup as they rank a paltry 27th in OPS against right-handed pitchers this month.

Milwaukee has burned (Burne'd?) me each of the last two days but third time's the charm, right? The Brewers bullpen is in better shape than San Diego's thanks to Adrian Houser outlasting Nick Martinez last night, and their lineup is due for some clutch hitting.

I'll back Burnes' body of work over Snell's shaky return. The Brewers are 20-8 in their last 28 as a favorite and should be larger favorites than the odds suggest. San Diego has scored three or fewer runs in five of its last seven games and its luck is due to run out.

Pick: Brewers (-129)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.