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Brewers vs. Reds Prediction and Odds for Friday, June 17 (Can Hunter Greene Finally Beat Milwaukee?)

By Matt De Saro

Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers
Cincinnati Reds v Milwaukee Brewers / John Fisher/GettyImages
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NL Central rivals clash this afternoon when the Cincinnati Reds host the Milwaukee Brewers in Game 1 of a three-game set. The Reds continue to be the worst team in the division, and likely the league, with a 23-40 record to start this series. Meanwhile, the Brewers are jockeying for the division-lead with the Cardinals. With the rest of the division at least 10 games behind, the Brewers are the only team in the NL Central with a realistic chance to catch St. Louis. 

Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook. 

Brewers vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, and Total

Run Line

  • Brewers -1.5 (+145)
  • Reds +1.5 (-175)

Moneyline:

  • Brewers -112
  • Reds +102

Total:

  • 9 (Over -130/Under +110)

Brewers vs. Reds Prediction and Pick

I was fading Hunter Greene every chance I got earlier this season. The Reds’ rookie was awful in his first five starts and ended up with an 8.71 ERA. But, since the start of May, Greene has been more or less dominant. His season stats are still bad, but he has a 2.87 ERA in three starts so far this month. The highly touted prospect is finally paying off for Cincy. 

However, I think today will prove to be another speed bump in Greene’s rookie year. The Brewers were all over him in two starts this year, combining to hit .353 against Greene with an OPS of 1.294. But, perhaps the scariest stat is Greene allowing six home runs to the Brewers in just 35 at bats. The Brewers are Greene’s Everest and I’m not sure he can climb that hill in his third try. 

Brewers’ starter Eric Lauer is another guy who has changed my perception of him this year. He was amazing over the first two months of the year and finished May with a 2.96 ERA with a 5-1 record. However, since the first of June, Lauer's ERA shot up to 3.36. His last game out saw Lauer get roasted by the Nationals for eight runs in five innings. He gave up three home runs and walked four while striking out two. Worse still, the Reds are hitting .339 against Lauer this year with an OPS of .908. 

I do think Greene will turn his season around, but the Brewers have had his number all year. Lauer is a wild card after getting lit up by an awful Nats team. I’m going to choose to not trust either to bounce back and take the OVER in this NL Central showdown. 

Pick: OVER 9 (-130)

Follow all of Matt De Saro’s betting picks HERE

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