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Browns vs. Bills Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 11 (Buffalo's Turnovers Will Continue to Cost Them)

By Iain MacMillan

Bills quarterback Josh Allen walks of the field after fumbling the snap that turned into a Vikings
Bills quarterback Josh Allen walks of the field after fumbling the snap that turned into a Vikings / JAMIE GERMANO / USA TODAY NETWORK
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The Buffalo Bills, who are still favorites to win the Super Bowl, are desperate to get back in the win column in Week 11 after dropping two-straight games. They're now in third place in the AFC East, and their hopes of being the number one seed in the AFC are quickly dwindling.

They'll host the Cleveland Browns on Sunday, who are trying to get back in the playoff hunt after a 3-6 start to their season.

Let's dive into the odds for the game and then I'll give you my best bet.

Browns vs. Bills Odds, Spread, and Total

Browns vs. Bills Betting Trends

  • Browns are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against Bills
  • Browns are 1-7 straight up in their last eight road hames
  • Browns are 0-5 ATS in their last five games against AFC East opponents
  • The UNDER is 6-1 in the Bills last seven games
  • Bills are 7-1 straight up in their last eight home games

Browns vs. Bills Prediction and Pick

One of the biggest struggles the Bills had last season is starting to appear again this year. Over each teams last three games, no team has allowed more yards per carry than the Bills, who have let their last three opponents gain 5.9 yards per rush against them.

Now, they have to take on the Browns, who are sixth in the NFL in yards per carry at 4.9.

There's no doubt that the Bills offense remains one of the best in the NFL, but the Browns offense has been sneaky effective as well, ranking 11th in yards per play.

The Bills defense needs to get healthy before I'm going to be willing to lay big points on them. Kallr Elam, Jordan Poyer, Greg Rousseau, among others, missed the game against the Vikings, and it showed.

Buffalo has also had major turnover issues. They're dead last in the NFL in turnovers per game, coughing up the ball an average of 2.0 times per game.

The Bills should win the game, but I have no interest in laying this many points on them. I'll take the points with the Browns.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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