Browns vs. Bills Prediction: No Snowpocalypse Means Points, Points and More Points

Bills quarterback Josh Allen
Bills quarterback Josh Allen / JAMIE GERMANO / USA TODAY NETWORK

We’ve been robbed of the snowpocalypse game in Buffalo. The NFL has moved the game to Detroit where the Buffalo Bills will now play two games in a row. Before their Thanksgiving matchup with the Lions, they’ll have to take on the Cleveland Browns at Ford Field. The Bills lost last week to Minnesota to drop their record to 6-3 and the desperation might be building for this team against the 3-6 Browns. 

Let’s check out the odds for this one at a neutral site. 

Browns vs. Bills Odds, Spread and Total

Browns vs. Bills Odds, Spread and Total Movement in NFL Week 11

This line has moved even more than the location for the game, the Bills opened as 5.5 point favorites, and then jumped around and eventually settled at 7.5, for now. 

Browns vs. Bills Prediction and Pick

The Bills run defense is a problem. They allowed Dalvin Cook to gash them for an 81 yard touchdown last week and over their last three games, the Bills are allowing 176.3 rushing yards per game. That is fifth worst in the NFL over that stretch. Cleveland wants to run the ball early and run it often. Nick Chubb should have a big game and he will need to for the Browns to win this game or cover the 7.5 points. 

The Bills should be comfortable in bad weather, but honestly this team is built for a warm weather city or a dome stadium. They are fast on offense and love to air the ball out. They don’t run the ball particularly well or do it very often, especially when they try to close out games. This move to Ford Field should be music to their ears, because the Browns defense won’t be able to keep up with their athletes. 

The Browns are giving up the second most points in the NFL this season. That is bad news when you’re facing Josh Allen in a dome, I like Buffalo, but I love the over. 

Pick: Over 49.5 (-107)

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change