Browns vs. Dolphins Prediction: Dolphins Defense Can't Stop Nick Chubb

Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24)
Cleveland Browns running back Nick Chubb (24) / Albert Cesare/The Enquirer / USA TODAY
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The plan was to tread water until Deshaun Watson can return for the Cleveland Browns and honestly, 3-5 with Jacoby Brissett is not bad. The Browns thrashed the Bengals 32-13, on Halloween before entering their bye week. Now, they will face off with Tua Tagovailoa in Miami. The Dolphins are undefeated when Tua starts and finishes a game which leaves them at 6-3 overall. 

Nick Chubb will run hard against the Miami defense, but with newly acquired Bradley Chubb on the edge, it will be stiff competition. 

Browns vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread and Total

Browns vs. Dolphins Odds, Spread and Total Movement

The spread opened at 5.5 and is now down to 3.5 in favor of the Dolphins. The total has gone up from 47.5 to 49.5. 

Browns vs. Dolphins Prediction and Pick

This is actually a spot where I like the Browns a good deal. Cleveland is a super physical offensive team which could be tough for Miami to slow down. The Miami defense is 14th against the run, but we have seen Cleveland run the ball down just about every team’s throat. 

The Browns defense is also a good matchup against Tua and Mike McDaniel’s offensive attack. Sure, they don’t have an answer for Tyreek Hill, but the teams that have really given the Browns a tough time are run-first offenses. The Browns allow 4.6 yards per carry and have given up 13 touchdowns on the ground. Tua wants to get the ball out quick to his receivers and move the ball that way. 

I don’t think that Brissett is capable of making plays down the stretch to pull out the win, but I feel good about Cleveland in the first half. Coming out of their bye, they will punch the Dolphins in the mouth with their running game. 

Pick: Cleveland First Half Moneyline (+150)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change