Browns vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 4

The Cleveland Browns don’t have Deshuan Watson yet this loaded roster and impressive running game has carried them to 2-1 and nearly 3-0 if it wasn’t for a meltdown against the Jets. The Falcons have had a meltdown of their own this year against the Saints, but on Sunday they were able to pull out their first win of the year in Seattle. 

Do the Browns keep themselves in contention with Jacoby Brissett at quarterback, or will the Falcons put together a little winning streak in Week 4?

Browns vs. Falcons Odds, Spread and Total

Atlanta and Cleveland Betting Trends

• OVER is 3-0 in Atlanta’s games this season
• OVER IS 3-0 in Cleveland’s games this season
• Atlanta is 3-0 ATS this year
• Cleveland is 2-1 ATS this year

Browns vs. Falcons Prediction and Pick

The Browns ran the ball down the Steelers throat on Thursday night and it seems like Jacoby Brissett is comfortable with Amari Cooper as his No. 1 receiver. Cooper went for 101 yards and a touchdown on seven catches against Pittsburgh and regularly cooked Akhello Witherspoon. 

AJ Terrell is much better than Witherspoon and could potentially shut down Cooper. In 2021 Terrell rated out as an 85.6 PFF grade in coverage, but this season he has a 56.0 PFF grade in coverage. It might not even matter though because Nick Chubb and Kareem Hunt are the biggest problem for an opposing team. The Falcons are allowing 4.8 yards per carry this year which is even worse than Pittsburgh’s 4.2 yard per carry, and the Steelers were exposed. 

Marcus Mariota is not a franchise quarterback, but he looks a lot better than Mitch Trubisky or Joe Flacco who the Browns have faced in Week 2 and 3. He may even be better than Baker Mayfield who they saw in Week 1. Even against those quarterbacks, the Browns have allowed 6.9 yards per attempt this season which is in the bottom half of the league. Outside of Denzel Ward, it is hard to truly trust the Browns secondary and Drake London has made it clear he was worthy of a top 10 pick. Plus Kyle Pitts finally got involved in the offense. 

If you skipped over the trends section, that is what this pick is based off of. The total seems a little high at 48, but both of these teams have gone over the total in all three of their games. I can’t go against that trend. 

Pick: Over 48 (-110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE