Betsided

BYU vs San Francisco Prediction and Odds (Trust Dons As Favorite)

By Joe Summers

BYU hopes to avoid another blowout loss to San Francisco when they play in the quarterfinals of the WCC Tournament tonight
BYU hopes to avoid another blowout loss to San Francisco when they play in the quarterfinals of the WCC Tournament tonight / Chris Gardner/GettyImages
facebooktwitterreddit

The 23-8 San Francisco Dons nabbed a 14-point road win over BYU last month and aim for a second-straight win as they host the 22-9 Cougars tonight at 7:30 PM PST in the quarterfinal round of the WCC Tournament.

BYU got a road win over San Francisco as well this year and have won six of seven. Can they get a second victory or will the Dons overwhelm the Cougars?

Let's check out the odds over at WynnBET:

BYU vs San Francisco Odds, Spread and Total

Spread

  • BYU +3 (-110)
  • San Francisco -3 (-110)

Moneyline:

  • BYU: +130
  • San Francisco: -160

Total:

  • 144 (Over -110/Under -110)

BYU vs San Francisco Prediction and Pick

The Dons have won and covered in four of six with their losses coming to Gonzaga and Saint Mary's, the class of the conference. They're a well-balanced squad, with the 37th-best adjusted offensive efficiency and 21st-ranked defense in the country, per Bart Torvik. They rebound well and are proficient at scoring inside but defending the perimeter.

They'll need that perimeter defense against a BYU attack that is in the 99th percentile in three-point shooting percentage over their last five. In fact, the Cougars have jumped from the 70th percentile in offensive rating to the 98th in their previous five matchups, though those games came against far inferior competition to what they'll see today.

San Francisco also ranks in the 99th percentile in three-point shooting in those last five but they've played far superior competition. I think their success is more likely to carry over and I like the value we're getting on the Dons against a BYU defense that has done a terrible job of making offenses uncomfortable lately.

In their last five games, BYU ranks in the 3rd percentile in steal percentage and 1st in block percentage, so they aren't disrupting offenses at all. That should come back to bite them against a Dons offense that's in the 88th percentile in effective field goal percentage on the season.

I'm on San Francisco to cover in their fifth straight as a favorite and win the season series against the Cougars.

Pick: San Francisco -3 (-110)

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picksvhere.

Home/College Basketball Predictions and Picks