Can Anyone Catch Scottie Scheffler at the Masters?
It's the final round of the Masters, and Scottie Scheffler is the odds-on favorite to put on the Green Jacket in Butler Cabin at the end of the day.
As discussed in our live odds article, Scheffler is set as the -300 favorite heading into the final round which is an implied probability of him winning of 75%. Can anyone catch him?
He holds a three-stroke lead over Cam Smith in second place, and a five-stroke lead over Sung Jae Im in third place. Let's dive into three guys who might be able to catch him, with all odds listed via WynnBET Sportsbook.
3 Players Who Can Catch Scottie Scheffler on Masters Sunday
Cameron Smith +200
Obviously Cam Smith is the obvious choice. He's the only one who can conceviably catch Scheffler without him having a meltdown of a day. If Smith can shoot five-under par, that will likely be good enough to force a playoff, if not win outright.
There are some promising signs for the Australian as well. He leads the entire field in strokes gained approach so far this tournament at +3.15. The rest of his game hasn't been as sharp, and he's technically losing strokes off the tee, but if he can keep this level of approach game going while tightening the other areas, he could go low today and make things interesting.
Sung Jae Im +2100
Sung Jae Im will likely need to play well today and also hope that Scheffler has a rough round if he wants to be in contention. The good news for Im, is that he's had the best tournament with his putter amongst all the top contenders. He's gaining +2.16 strokes with his putter so far, but his approach play is lacking, gaining only +0.25 with his irons.
If he can dial in the irons, he could make things interesting if Scheffler finally decides to have a bad round.
Justin Thomas +8000
Based on the live odds and the win probability set by DataGolf.com, Shane Lowry technically has a better chance of catching Scheffler at two-under par, but I'm going to make the argument that Justin Thomas is actually better suited for an improbable Sunday charge, despite starting his round at one-under par.
Justin Thomas has been fantastic with his approach game, especially over the last two rounds. He gained 5.63 strokes on the field with his irons on Friday, and 3.53 on Saturday. His putting and driving has let him down this tournament, but the number one contributor to getting birdies is your approach play.
Good drivers and putters might not lose many strokes, but good approach players will give themselves chances to score, and that's what JT needs if he wants any hope today. Dial in the flat stick, and he could at least enter the conversation.