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Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Prediction and Odds for Wednesday, July 27 (Toronto Stays Hot Behind Gausman)

By Joe Summers

Kevin Gausman's underlying metrics suggest he's been unlucky ahead of tonight's matchup with St. Louis
Kevin Gausman's underlying metrics suggest he's been unlucky ahead of tonight's matchup with St. Louis / Bob DeChiara-USA TODAY Sports
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As the Cardinals experienced in yesterday's 10-3 loss to the scorching-hot Blue Jays, it's kind of difficult to win baseball games when your best players are ineligible to play.

Nolan Arenado and MVP-favorite Paul Goldschmidt will not play the rest of the series, deeming their "research" on the vaccine more viable than the exhaustive work of scientists.

As a result, Toronto continues to have a giant advantage both physically and mentally over St. Louis. Adam Wainwright hopes to flip the Cardinals' fortunes today, though he's in a rut himself. He's got a 4.62 ERA as St. Louis lost each of his last four starts.

Kevin Guasman is due for some good luck himself, bringing a 3.00 ERA but a stellar 1.99 FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) into the contest.

Can Gausman give Toronto another convincing victory or will Wainwright pull off a miracle on the road?

Here are the odds from WynnBET Sportsbook as we analyze this Cardinals vs Blue Jays matchup:

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Odds, Run Line and Total

Run Line:

  • Cardinals +1.5 (-105)
  • Blue Jays -1.5 (-115)

Moneyline:

  • Cardinals: +215
  • Blue Jays: -240

Total:

  • 8.0 (Over -115/Under -105)

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction and Pick

Toronto is on a ridiculous heater. After embarrassing the Red Sox, they opened up this series with the depleted (thanks to selfishness) Cardinals in dominant fashion, winning 10-3. With Kevin Gausman on the mound today, you can expect another resounding win.

Gausman's surface-level numbers aren't all that impressive, but he's been hampered by poor luck all season and it's time for things to turn around. Facing this Cardinals' club is a great start, as they've lost 14 of 17 as road underdogs.

Adam Wainwright is struggling too. He's got a 4.81 ERA on the road. Overall, he's been lucky too, compiling a 4.48 expected ERA compared to a 3.40 actual ERA.

Toronto handily leads MLB in OPS against right-handed pitchers this month, with a larger gap between the Blue Jays and second-place Yankees than between the Yankees and 13th-ranked Kansas City.

Give me the Blue Jays to stay hot and pick up a run-line victory. Good luck is coming for Gausman and bad luck will continue to come for Wainwright.

Follow all of Joe Summers' betting picks here.

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