Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction and Odds for Sunday, April 24 (Cincinnati Working on Historically Bad Season)
By Matt De Saro
Well, the Cincinnati Reds lost again last night. The Reds are now on an 11-game losing streak and have not won a game since their opening series. Hilariously, they took two of four from the Braves in their first action since winning the World Series. I thought they might have gotten a bad rap in the preseason. But I was wrong. They are as bad as we thought they would be and then some.
The Reds aren’t even putting up a fight. They have been shut out in two of their last three games by a combined score of 11-0. They have not scored more than two runs since April 14 and have not covered a runline since April 10. Bad does not begin to describe this team.
The Cardinals, on the other hand, have been a pleasant surprise this year. They currently sit at 9-4 and in first place in the NL Central. They have had the luxury of playing some weak teams in Pittsburgh and Cincy, but they also took series wins from the Marlins, Royals, and Brewers.
Veteran Adam Wainwright gets the nod for STL and I think will enjoy an easy afternoon against this dumpster fire of a team.
Here are the odds for this game, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, and Total
Run Line
- Cardinals: -1.5 (+112)
- Reds: +1.5 (-135)
Moneyline:
- Cardinals: -139
- Reds: +129
Total:
- Total 8.5 (Over -105/Under -115)
Cardinals vs. Reds Prediction and Pick
I love getting these Reds games to cover because researching bad stats is more fun to me than sifting through metrics of good teams. I am almost more impressed at times by how statistically poor a team can be. The Reds are really pushing the boundaries this year.
Let’s look at some of the offensive metrics that the Reds rank dead-last in. These include batting average (.180), hits per game (5.67), run differential (-44), total bases per game (8.53), slugging percentage (0.526), and so on. The list is quite long. However, the Reds do rank No. 1 in a few categories as well. One is runners left in scoring position per game. I’m actually surprised they get enough guys in scoring position to stand there in the first place.
Nick Lodolo gets the nod for Cincy today and, predictably, his numbers are trash. He has an 8.00 ERA and 2.00 in his first nine innings of work. He’s also given up three home runs and five walks so far.
Nothing about this game, aside from the location, could be considered an advantage for the Reds. They haven’t covered a game in weeks, are getting shut out left and right, and have a 1.13 run per game average in their last 11 games.
My auto-fade of the Reds continues. Hop on the train! We haven’t lost in the last 11 games.
Pick: Cardinals -1.5 (+112)
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