Carlos Alcaraz-Garfia vs. Casper Ruud Prediction and Odds for U.S. Open Final

The final U.S. Open match of the 2022 tournament. We just got blessed with another terrific five-set match between Carlos Alcaraz-Garfia and Frances Tiafoe. The bar for a great match was set high in the semifinal, so can Alcaraz-Garfia and Ruud deliver an even better last match?

Here are the odds for the matchup courtesy of FanDuel.

Carlos Alcaraz-Garfia vs. Casper Ruud Odds and Over/Under

Moneyline: 

• Alcaraz: -235
• Ruud: +190

Spread:

• Alcaraz: -4.5 (-102)
• Ruud: +4.5 (-130)

Game Total: 

• 38.5 (Over: -135/ Under: -120)

Carlos Alcaraz-Garfia vs. Casper Ruud  Prediction and Pick

I didn’t think Alcaraz would get to this spot. I thought Frances Tiafoe – who pushed him to five sets – would be here. Still, Alcaraz showed that he can power through long matches and get the win. He’s played three consecutive five-set matches, but I think he’ll make light work of Casper Ruud.

This match will come down to being able to hold serve. While both players have the same percentage of saved break points this year, Rudd has faced over 500 more potential break points than Alcaraz. If the young Spaniard can put the pressure on Ruud, he’ll break him often enough to get the win.

Lean: Alcaraz -4.5 (-102)

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.