CFB Week 10 Games to Bet Before the Lines Move (Why to Back Georgia as Favorites)
By Reed Wallach
There are some massive games this weekend in College Football on the heels of the College Football Playoff reveal on Tuesday night.
With those big games comes betting opportunity. We have a college football betting on Tuesday, The Early Reed, that tries to get ahead of market moves and get closing line value.
It won't happen every week, but getting in early to bets can be the difference between winning and losing bets, so let's share a few that are likely to move throughout the week. For the full episode of The Early Reed, check it out below:
Georgia vs. Tennessee Prediction and Pick
Tennessee closed as a nine-point underdog at home against Alabama three weeks ago, and the market moved against them leading up to the game. Now, it heads to Georgia to face a better team in the defending National Champions and is catching less points?
While the Vols have proven they are an elite team that deserve a power rating upgrade, the Bulldogs are still the class of the sport and are being sold short. The offense and defense both rate inside the top 10 in key metrics such as success rate and yards per play on both sides of the ball.
Tennessee is the trendy pick this week after it beat Alabama and steamrolled Kentucky last week, but the Bulldogs are the team undervalued as an 8-point favorite.
You can hear more thoughts on this game above with DawgsCentral.com creator Graham Coffey on The Early Reed.
Iowa vs. Purdue Prediction and Pick
The Hawkeyes face a Purdue team that throws the ball at a top 10 rate in the country, but Iowa has the defense to combat that top 20 in success rate against passes.
While the Hawkeyes offense leaves a ton to be desired, Spencer Petras is one of the worst Power 5 quarterbacks in the country, the Purdue offense has allowed 26 or more points in six of seven games against FBS opponents.
Can this game, that is totaled at 42.5 as of this writing, be settled within key numbers of three and four given the stout Iowa defense that has a significant edge in special teams rating? Absolutely. Iowa is fourth in SP+ special teams rating while Purdue is 118th.
Boise State vs. BYU Prediction and Pick
BYU has fallen off as the season has gone on, one of the toughest schedules in college football, and now head to Boise, Idaho for its 10th straight game. The Cougars are going to run into a buzzsaw on Saturday in the Broncos, who are playing their best ball of the season under new offensive coordinator Dirk Koetter and replacement quarterback Taylen Green.
Since firing their offensive coordinator Tim Plough and QB Hank Bachmeier hit the transfer portal, the Broncos have scored 35 or more in three of four games while maintaining the fourth best defense in terms of success rate.
BYU has battled injuries all season and their defense is outside the top 100 in terms of yards per play allowed and sacks generated. They won't hold up in their 10th straight week of action. You can lay it comfortably with Boise State.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.