Charles Schwab Challenge Odds and Picks (Key in On One Specific State at Colonial Country Club)

Jason Kokrak won the 2021 edition of the Charles Schwab Challenge.
Jason Kokrak won the 2021 edition of the Charles Schwab Challenge. / Raymond Carlin III-USA TODAY Sports

The PGA Championship is in the books! Justin Thomas stormed back in the final round after being down as much as eight strokes, to win his second major tournament of his career.

Now, we turn our attention to this week's Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial Country Club. The field is surprisingly strong, so we have a lot to dive into.

Let's start off with the top 10 odds to win the event, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Odds to Win the Charles Schwab Challenge

  • Scottie Scheffler +1100
  • Justin Thomas +1200
  • Collin Morikawa +1600
  • Jordan Spieth +1600
  • Viktor Hovland +2000
  • Will Zalatoris +2000
  • Max Homa +2500
  • Sam Burns +2800
  • Abraham Ancer +3300
  • Daniel Berger +3300

How to Handicap Colonial Country Club

We're finally back at a golf course that we're familiar with. One with tons of historical data to base our bets on.

The track will play as a Par 70 that stretches over 7,200 yards. In stark contrast to last week, the course will be relatively easy around the greens. So, the bad chippers you avoided at Southern Hills, you can pull the trigger on at Colonial.

The course can, however, be challenging off the tee. Inaccurate drivers will find themselves in trouble, and bombers won't have much of an advantage.

At the end of the day, this is a ball strikers course. Good iron players will be the ones that will be able to separate themselves from the pack.

Finally, we want to focus on approach proximity from distance between 125-175 yards. Per Datagolf, short approaches are much more prominent at Colonial compared to the PGA Tour's average course.

Key Stats for the Charles Schwab Challenge

  • Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
  • Strokes Gained: Approach-the-Green
  • Approach Proximity from 125-150 Yards
  • Approach Proximity from 150-175 Yards
  • Strokes Gained: Putting

Pick to Win the Charles Schwab Challenge

Viktor Hovland +2000

I stayed away from Viktor Hovland last week due to his poor chipping, but with the way this course is set up, I'm much more confident in betting on the Norwegian. He's 14th in strokes gained: off-the-tee, third in strokes gained: approach, and third in proximity from 125-150 yards.

If this truly turns into a ball strikers event, look for Hovland to excel. With the area around the greens not being too difficult, his chipping shouldn't cost him too much over the weekend.

Kevin Na +5000

Kevin Na checks off a ton of boxes this week. First of all, he's already won this event back in 2019. He also has finishes at Colonial of seventh, ninth, 13th, 10th and fourth. The guy just loves to play this course, and it makes sense when you look at the numbers.

As I mentioned, approaches from 125-175 yards are prominent this week, and that's exactly where Na thrives. This season, he ranks first in approaches from 125-150 yards, and fourth in proximity from 150-175 yards. He's a great bet this week at 50/1.

Christiaan Bezhuidenhout +7500

Christiaan Bezhuidenhout has had some solid results this season on the PGA Tour, including a T12 at the AT&T Byron Nelson two weeks ago. This week's event could prove to be his time to get his first win on the PGA Tour. His approach game is best from short distances, as he ranks 27th in proximity from 125-150 yards, and 9th in proximity from 150-175 yards, right in the wheelhouse of Colonial.

If you're looking for a bit of a longshot, Bezhuidenhout is your guy.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.