Chiefs Defied the Odds Besides Covering Spread vs. Bills

Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid celebrates with the fans after their overtime win vs. the Buffalo Bills on Sunday.
Kansas City Chiefs head coach Andy Reid celebrates with the fans after their overtime win vs. the Buffalo Bills on Sunday. / Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports

For a short period of time, it seemed like the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Tom Brady nearly repeating his 28-3 comeback against the Los Angeles Rams would be the story of the weekend.

Then the Kansas City Chiefs and Buffalo Bills played and the entire conversation shifted.

Down four at the final two minute warning, Josh Allen connected on a perfect strike to Gabriel Davis for his third touchdown catch of the ballgame. Under a minute later, Mahomes found a streaking Tyreek Hill across the field to put the Chiefs back on top.

But Josh Allen wasn't finished just yet, finding Davis for his fourth touchdown of the game with only 13 seconds left to go, giving Buffalo a 36-33 lead. A stunned Arrowhead Stadium crowd was left to wonder if Patrick Mahomes had one last bit of magic left in him.

According to ESPN Stats and Information, once the Bills scored, Kansas City had a 9% chance to come up with a victory according to ESPN's win probability metric in the remaining 13 seconds.

Where Does the Chiefs' Comeback Rank in NFL Playoff History?

While Sunday's game doesn't quite compare amongst the largest deficits in NFL playoff history, three of the six largest comebacks have come in the postseason.

Ironically, the largest took place in Buffalo, as the Bills overcame a 32-point deficit to the Houston Oilers back in the Wild Card round of the 1992-93 season; winning 41-38 in overtime.

The Chiefs were also involved in the second-largest comeback in the playoffs, but were on the other side of the coin. Up by 28 against the Indianapolis Colts, they ended up losing 45-44 in regulation.

The Patriots 28-3 rally against the Falcons, for what it's worth is sixth amongst the largest comebacks in league history, and the third in the postseason.

As for the biggest win probability turnaround in the postseason, the Minnesota Miracle play back in January of 2018 in the Minnesota Vikings stunner over the New Orleans Saints takes the cake. Before Stefon Diggs caught the pass from Case Keenum, ESPN's win probability listed the Saints at 96% to win the game.

Via WynnBET Sportsbook, The Chiefs host the Cincinnati Bengals on Sunday as 7-point favorites at Arrowhead Stadium with a total of 54.5.

Have you checked out BetSided's podcast, "Bet & Breakfast?"
Ben Heisler, Peter Dewey and Reed Wallach recap the incredible Chiefs-Bills showdown, as well as look ahead to their early leans for the AFC and NFC Championship games!

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