Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 14 (Fade Russell Wilson, Broncos at Home)

Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson (3)
Denver Broncos quarterback Russell Wilson (3) / Tommy Gilligan-USA TODAY Sports
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The Denver Broncos are so good at being bad. Every week it seems like they’ll start to be good, but then they find a new and interesting way to be terrible and lose.

This past week it was a last second touchdown given up to Tyler Huntley and the Ravens that downed the riding Russell Wilsons, 10-9. What interesting and awful way will they find to blow the game this week, I can’t wait to find out.

Maybe they’ll just get blown out by the Kansas City Chiefs, but even at 3-9, the Broncos only have one double-digit loss this season. 

The Chiefs need this one after their loss to Cincinnati dropped them out of the No. 1 seed in the AFC, but Nathaniel Hackett needs it to save his job, so who’s more desperate? Let’s go to the odds. 

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds, Spread and Total

Denver and Kansas City Betting Trends

  • Denver is 4-8 ATS
  • Kansas City is 3-8-1 ATS
  • The under is 11-1 in Denver’s games
  • The under is 7-5 in KC’s games
  • KC is 0-4-1 ATS in last five 
  • KC is 0-4 ATS in the last four vs. AFC West
  • Under is 5-0 in Denver’s last five home games
  • KC is 10-3 ATS in last 13 meetings

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction and Pick

At some point Kansas City is going to have to cover a big spread. The Chiefs really struggle as big favorites and right now they’re favored by nine on the road. This year, they’ve been bad against the spread and actually a worse team to bet on than the 3-9 Broncos. Despite that, they  have the best scoring offense in the NFL and there is no way the Broncos can score with them. Denver has by far the worst scoring offense in the league. Kansas City scores 29.2 points a game and Denver scores 13.8. 

The Broncos have lost their last three at home and Russell Wilson is a disaster in Denver. He has thrown just one touchdown to three picks, is completing 59% of his passes, and has a quarterback rating of 73.1 compared to his 89.8 on the road. 

The under is 11-1 in Broncos games, I rode it last week and you better believe I’m taking it again this week. 

Pick: Under 43.5 (-110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change