Cincinnati vs. South Florida Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for College Football Week 11

Heading into Week 11, every game is now a must-win for the 9-0 Cincinnati Bearcats. They remain as one of four teams left in the FBS without a loss including Georgia, Oklahoma, and UTSA, and are within striking distance of the College Football Playoff.

Luckily for the Bearcats, the South Florida Bulls pose little threat to their championship aspirations. The Bulls are 2-7 on the year and, despite hanging tough, fell last week to the Houston Cougars 54-52 last week. Ultimately, they were let down by their defense and I expect that trend to continue against the Bearcats. 

Here are the odds for this AAC, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Cincinnati vs. South Florida Spread and Over/Under

Spread:

• Cincinnati -24.0 (-110) 
• USF +24.0  (-110) 

Moneyline:

• Cincinnati -2000
• USF +1000

Total:

• 59.5 (Over -110/Under -110)

Cincinnati vs. South Florida Betting Trends

• The Bearcats are 0-6 ATS in their last six games against the Bulls. 
• The Bearcats are 2-5 ATS in their last seven games against the AAC.
• The UNDER is 4-2 in the Bearcats' last six games. 
• The UNDER is 6-3 in the last nine games between these two teams. 
• The OVER is 7-1 in the Bull’s last eight games at home. 

Cincinnati vs. South Florida Prediction and Pick

The odds are heavily in favor of the Bearcats and it’s easy to see why. While Cincinnati has dominated teams on the scoreboard, they haven’t covered large spreads consistently this year. 

The Bearcats have been favorites of 20 or more points in seven games this season. As impressive as that is, Cincinnati has covered just three of those games. The team is on an 0-3 ATS slide after failing to cover against Navy (-28.5), Tulane (-27.5) and Tulsa (-22.5). 

While it's clear the Bearcats are far and away from a better team, can they cover this spread? Ever since they beat UCF by 35, there have been no blowout wins for this team. They beat Navy by just nine and Tulsa by eight last week. 

Until the Bearcats get back to blowing teams out, I'll find it hard to trust them on these large spreads. The Bulls aren’t exactly ATS champions, but they did play hard and keep it close against Houston last week and I see a similar fight in their future. 

Bet: USF +24.0 (-110)