College Basketball Best Bets Today (Back Dayton, UConn on Jan. 18)

We juiced out on Monday's best bet column, losing a double overtime bet, pushing a game in the final seconds and then cashed an easy winner with Belmont. Now, we move to a loaded Tuesday slate that features a ton of high level matchups across the country.

Some of these numbers moved after I played them over night, which I will mention below, but as always you can check out my plays in real time on here across all the sports I bet.

As always, odds are courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Column Record: 14-22-3 (-9.1 Units)

Baylor vs. West Virginia UNDER 138.5

Baylor has lost their last two games at home to defensive minded Texas Tech and Oklahoma State, and it won't get any easier with a trip to Morgantown to face West Virginia.

The Bears may be down their lead guard James Akinjo and James Sochan as well, who are nursing injuries and are listed as game-time decisions.

Baylor can run into some trouble against WVU's press defense, especially if Akinjo is out. However, I'm going to avoid the Mountaineers as home underdogs considering the Bears are coming off of two straight losses and should be motivated.

A banged up Baylor team is still going to lock up on defense and I don't trust West Virginia's to generate enough offense to break 70 points. Scott Drew's club is 11th in overall defensive efficiency, per KenPom.

That leads me to an under play with West Virginia's ball pressure and poor offense against the visiting and possibly short handed Bears.

PICK: UNDER 138.5, play to 137

Dayton (-1) vs. St. Bonaventure

I faded the Bonnies to little success on Friday night in this column, but I still rate this team below the A-10 elite, so I'll bet against them again on the road against Dayton.

The Flyers are athletic and do a great job of cleaning the glass which can be difficult against a short St. Bonaventure rotation.

While the visitors are worse than last season, they are the defending conference champs, Dayton will get up for this game as a young and hungry roster under one of the best mid-major coaches in the country in Anthony Grant.

I believe that the Flyers top 35 effective field goal percentage will show in a convincing win against a Bonnies team that is two wins worse than their record actually is, per Shot Quality.

For more, check out my game preview here.

PICK: Dayton -1, play to -2.5 (which I bet)

Connecticut (-13.5) vs. Butler

I got this at -13, but I still see value on the Huskies, who should have little issue dominating Butler like most elite teams in the nation have done this season.

From my game preview on BetSided:

"When the Bulldogs play a team outside of KenPom's top 100, they thrive, going 8-0 with a an average margin of more than 15.

"When they play a team inside the top 100? The Bulldogs are 1-6 with an average margin of defeat of 21.

"Guess what? UConn is 20th per the rankings and present a ton of concerns for Butler, whose lifeblood on offense is to hoist three-point shots. UConn has a ton of length and are allowing the 23rd lowest 3-point rate."

PICK: Connecticut -13.5

Duke vs. Florida State OVER 145

You can check out my game preview on this one, but I see Florida State pushing the pace in this game and Duke finding answers all over the floor with the likes of Paolo Banchero and A.J. Griffin winning in isolation situations.

However, Leonard Hamilton's team has a chance in this game with their emerging 3-point shooting, which is over 41% over their last three games in ACC play. Both teams play inside the top 100 in terms of average possession length, so I expect a lot of shots and points on the board.

PICK: Florida State OVER 145