College Football Best Bets for Week 6: How to Bet Utah vs. UCLA , TCU vs. Kansas and More
By Reed Wallach
Your eyes are sure to be glued to the three ranked on ranked matchups this weekend, and luckily at BetSided we have you covered.
There are some massive games across the college football Week 6 slate, including Utah traveling to take on UCLA in a game with serious PAC-12 title implications as well as College GameDay's host game TCU vs. Kansas.
Here are betting previews for those two as well as the other ranked on ranked matchup in Tennessee vs. LSU from Death Valley.
Don't forget to check out The Early Reed LIVE on Tuesday's at 1 PM EST for more college football best bets:
No. 8 Tennessee vs. No. 25 LSU Prediction and Pick
With the line inside of -3, this has to be a play on the Vols against a suspect LSU offense. For starters, Jayden Daniels is banged up after leaving the Auburn game early and the best source of Tigers offense has been broken play runs from the Arizona State quarterback.
If Daniels is in, I don't expect the Tigers offense to keep up with the elite Tennessee offense. LSU is 88th in EPA/Play when passing this season and the Tennessee defense is 21st overall in EPA/Play on the defensive side of the ball.
LSU was lucky to escape Auburn with a victory last week, 21-17, despite being outgained by more than 150 yards, and the Tennessee offense should maintain their elite form on Saturday. Hendon Hooker is in the center of the Heisman Trophy race (1,300 all-purpose yards, 11 total touchdowns) on one of the best offenses in the country that is averaging more than seven yards per play and fifth in success rate.
I'm still not sold on LSU just yet, who closed as a home underdog to Mississippi State a few weeks back, while Tennessee has gone on the road and beat Pitt already this season. I'll trust the better offense to outpace Brian Kelly's group on Saturday. -- Reed Wallach
No. 17 TCU vs. No. 19 Kansas
Kansas is far better than expected and worthy of all the praise behind the fine play of quarterback Jaylon Daniels, but I think the buck stops here.
TCU was my favorite Big 12 win total over team and a conference championship contender, and they have lived up to the hype thus far. The team has scored 38 or more in every game this season and are averaging 8.33 yards per play, the best mark in the country. First year head coach Sonny Dykes has joined the Horned Frogs and revitalized their defense that is outpacing high powered offenses like SMU and Oklahoma.
The defense has also held up their end of the bargain under first year head coach Joe Gillespie, ranking top 50 in success rate against those aforementioned elite offenses. While Daniels has been electric on offense we saw the Jayhawks struggle in their first game against an above average defense in Iowa State last week, who runs a similar 3-3-5 scheme.
Kansas totaled 213 yards in the win against Iowa State and needed the Cyclones to miss three field goals to hang onto a 14-11 victory. Now, they will face their toughest test of the season and be unable to keep up. The Jayhawks defense is 80th in success rate and won't be able to keep down the Horned Frogs offense.
TCU has become a massive favorite on the road, and I agree, but I'm going to opt to go with the TCU team total over in hopes that their offense clears 38 points or more for the fifth time in as many games. -- Reed Wallach
No. 11 Utah vs. No. 18 UCLA
This game should feature a ton of points as the Utah defense is still developing with a young core and DTR is more than capable of taking over games. When he's on the UCLA signal caller is as good as they come in the sport. Against Washington, Thompson-Robinson completed 24-of-33 passes for 315 yards and three touchdowns. he added 53 yards on the ground and a touchdown score.
Meanwhile, the Utah offense has bounced back off a Week 1 road loss to Florida by dismantling opponents, scoring at least 35 points in every game. The offensive line is elite in run and pass protection as Rising has been sacked only three times this season and the team is averaging over five yards per carry.
While UCLA won more convincingly than the 40-32 score line indicates, the defense hasn't been challenged that much this season. I think Utah's offensive line provides the stiffest test for a unit that has been propped up by a relatively easy schedule to start the year, but the Utes have also feasted on inferior competition.
The Utah defense still has ways to go, bottom half of the country in explosive pass and rush defense and that can be where Thompson-Robinson, running back Zach Charbonnet and wide receiver Jake Bobo can attack.
I think points will come in bunches on Saturday afternoon, so I'll go over the total as both defenses still leave some to be desired. -- Reed Wallach
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