College Football Playoff Prediction Based on National Championship Odds

Michigan Wolverines defensive end Aidan Hutchinson.
Michigan Wolverines defensive end Aidan Hutchinson. / Kyle Robertson/Columbus Dispatch / USA

We have entered Championship Week with the College Football Playoff picture becoming more and more clear.

After historically coming up short in their respective rivalry games, Michigan and Oklahoma State beat Ohio State and Oklahoma, respectively to knock off their heated foes from the CFP race.

Now those two are in a win-and-in scenario (most likely) to lock up a berth in the top four while Georgia can put the final nail in the coffin of Alabama's CFP hopes with a strong performance on Saturday.

How should we handicap the National Championship picture heading into the final week of the season? Here are the updated odds from WynnBET Sportsbook.

National Championship Odds

Georgia (-225)

Even if the Bulldogs were to lose to Alabama in the SEC Championship on Saturday, Georgia will make the College Football Playoff, it's more a matter of who it will play.

The Bulldogs are 6.5-point favorites against the Crimson Tide, and will be favored by double digits against any opponent in the CFP.

This number is right, this is UGA's title to lose.

Michigan (+500)

The Wolverines finally got over the hump, knocking off Ohio State and putting themselves in control of their own destiny of the College Football Playoff race. The Wolverines are 11-point favorites against Iowa in the Big Ten Championship. With a win, they will also likely avoid a matchup against Georgia in National Semifinals.

While the price has dropped considerably from last week, Michigan has a ton of upside at this price to make a run to the National Championship behind an incredible defense and an emerging running game.

The Wolverines will likely be favorites in any semifinal matchup before catching points against Georgia in a potential National Championship. +500 is a pretty fair price if you believe in Aidan Hutchinson and co.

Alabama (+675)

Alabama kept its College Football Playoff hopes alive with a come from behind victory at Auburn, but it wasn't pretty. The Crimson Tide didn't score a touchdown until the final minute and now will enter a must-win situation against the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs as 6.5-point underdogs.

A loss for Bama at this point is likely the final nail in the coffin for its CFP hopes, but never count out the College Football Playoff's sympathy for Nick Saban's Tide.

However, with a lot of obstacles in the way, this price still seems too cheap on Alabama.

Cincinnati (+1000)

It appears that the Bearcats control their own destiny heading into the AAC Championship against Houston. If they win, it will be interesting where the committee ranks them.

I would advise waiting for this week's reveal of the College Football Playoff rankings before placing a bet on the Bearcats. If Cincinnati is able to find itself ahead of Oklahoma State, they could get a much more winnable semifinal matchup against likely Michigan, making this a more attractive bet.

At this point, I'm monitoring Cincinnati prices.

Oklahoma State (+1000)

The Cowboys scored arguably the biggest win in Mike Gundy's tenure as head coach on Saturday, knocking off their in-state rivals Oklahoma.

Now, the team must beat Baylor in the Big 12 Championship, who OSU beat earlier this year, to likely send it to its first College Football Playoff.

As I alluded to earlier, I believe that either Cincy or Oklahoma State provide strong Futures bets at this point, but I'm going to wait to see this weeks rankings before making a play. I want to see who will be in line to avoid Georgia in a potential semifinal matchup before placing a bet.

Notre Dame (+2500)

Notre Dame is going to need a ton of help to get into the CFP mix, and I can't advise making a bet at this number.

It starts with Alabama losing to Georgia, but even then I'm not sure if Irish are a lock to get in over a two-loss Alabama.

Further, an Oklahoma State and/or Cincinnati loss would help. Even then, in a matchup against Georgia in the semifinal would have the Irish as at least two touchdown underdogs. This is a no play for me given the chaos that is needed on Championship Saturday.

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