The marquee matchup of Saturday's Week 11 slate goes down in Austin with TCU playing for their College Football Playoff lives.
The Horned Frogs travel to face Texas on the road as more than a touchdown underdog. TCU has made their mark by coming back in the second half of games this season, will the game script open up valuable bets in the prop market?
Let's discuss with three of our favorite prop bets for TCU vs. Texas in Week 11:
3 Best Prop Bets for TCU vs. Texas
- Max Duggan UNDER 27.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
- Jordan Whittington to Score a Touchdown (+210)
- Xavier Worthy OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Max Duggan UNDER 27.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Duggan is a more than capable runner, but has only cleared this total in four of nine games on the year. Further, he will be going up against a stout Texas defensive line that has forced the 22nd most tackles for loss and is 20th in defensive line yards.
I expect the Longhorns to generate pressure in the backfield and force some negative yardage situations for Duggan to make this a step prop to climb. He has only rushed more than 10 times in four games this season, so I don't expect volume to be there, and I'm not going to bank on him getting into the 30's against a stiff pass rush.
Jordan Whittington to Score a Touchdown (+210)
Whittington only has 31 catches on the season, but he is the explosive threat in the Longhorns passing game, averaging more than 13 yards per catch this season. I expect Steve Sarkisian to scheme open Whittington, who has a touchdown on the year, against a leaky TCU secondary that has the fifth worth explosive pass defense mark in the country.
At these odds, I'll take a stab at the weak point of the Horned Frogs defense being exposed against a sophisticated passing game.
Xavier Worthy OVER 62.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
I'm backing Whittington to score, but Worthy is the go-to threat in this Longhorns passing game, which is where I think Texas looks to attack against a TCU defense that allows chunk plays often. I mentioned the explosive pass defense, but they also allow the 70th highest yards per pass attempts and are bottom 40 in red zone touchdown defense.
Worthy has 40 catches for 552 yards, but in non-blowout games (against Louisiana-Monroe and Oklahoma) where the passing game was subdued, he has cleared 62.5 in four of seven games.
Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.