College Football Weather Report for Week 1 (How Weather Will Impact Betting)
By Ben Heisler
We've reached the first full Saturday of Week 1 action in college football!
As you get set for all your different wagers for the day, you'll want to be aware of the latest weather forecasts that could play a role in any late movements to both team's spreads, as well as to the total.
Via Action Network, there are three specific trends to consider when it comes to weather:
- When the temperature is above 90 degrees, OVERS are 120-92-1 going back to 2005, however that trend bucked the opposite way last year, with UNDERS going 12-3.
- UNDERS are 76-41-3, hitting at a 65% clip when winds are 20 mph or greater. Furthermore, they also point out that specifically for Big Ten games at home, unders are 22-7-1; hitting at just under 76%.
- In games where it's 32 degrees or less, AND, the wind is 10-plus mph, unders are 50-21-2 since 2005, and 12-1-1 in the last 14 games.
Here are the forecasts that bettors will want to play close attention to leading up to kickoff, along with the latest odds and totals for Week 1.
Bowling Green vs. UCLA Weather
FORECAST: HOT! 96 degrees and sunny at kickoff with winds at just 2-4 mph. Bump to the OVER.
Texas State vs. Nevada Weather
FORECAST: Very hot and windy at Mackay Stadium. Temperature approaching 96 degrees at kickoff with winds at 14-15 mph. Wind not at the 20+ mph mark, but could play a role in kicking game.
Rice vs. USC Weather
FORECAST: Hottest forecast of the day from the Coliseum. 97 degrees and sunny at kickoff with winds at 7-8 mph. Advantage to the over.
Utah vs. Florida Weather
FORECAST: 100% chance of rain in Gainesville with humidity levels in the 80-90% range. Expect total to drop slightly, but no true trends to worry about benefitting one side or another.
Utah State vs. Alabama Weather
FORECAST: Heavy rain at 100% chance in Tuscaloosa. Light winds between 5-6 mph. No real trend here, but with Alabama already a 41.5-point favorite, it may become a bigger challenge for Utah State to score in the rain.
SMU vs. North Texas Weather
FORECAST: 93 degrees and sunny at kickoff with winds approaching 7-8 mph. Advantage to over.
Maine vs. New Mexico Weather
FORECAST: 78 degrees and overcast. Wind approaching 15-16 mph. Slight edge towards under.
Western Kentucky vs. Hawaii Weather
FORECAST: 79 degrees and sunny, but wind anywhere between 20-23 mph and heavy humidity (75-80%). Advantage towards under.