After losing to their AFC South division rival Tennessee Titans, the Indianapolis Colts have fallen to 0-3 to start the season. The Colts don’t have issues with turnovers or penalties, they just simply haven’t gotten the ball in the end zone.
Quarterback Carson Wentz has thrown just three touchdown passes through three games and running back Nyheim Hines has scored the team’s only rushing touchdown.
The Miami Dolphins lost to the still-undefeated Las Vegas Raiders last week on a game-ending field goal in overtime. The Dolphins played very well to stay alive in that game, not turning the ball over on offense and getting a touchdown from their defense. Elandon Roberts intercepted a pass from Derek Carr and returned it 85 yards for the score.
Miami quarterback Jacoby Brissett will play against his old team this week and the opposing signal caller Carson Wentz, once seen as an upgrade over Brissett, will have to prove it this week.
Colts vs. Dolphins Spread, Odds, and Over/Under
Colts +1.5 (+100)
Dolphins -1.5 (-120)
43 (Over -110/Under -110)
Colts vs. Dolphins Betting Trends
- Dolphins are 8-0 ATS in their last eight home games vs. a team with a losing record.
- Miami is 12-2 ATS in its last 14 games following a straight up loss.
- The over is 4-1 in Colts last five games as an underdog.
- Indianapolis is 5-5 on the over in its last 10 games, but the over and under have gone back and forth every time in that time span. Last game was under.
Colts vs. Dolphins Prediction
These two teams appear to be evenly matched on paper. Two underwhelming offenses lining up against two average defenses. Two quarterbacks that have moved the offense, but continuously fail to score.
This could seriously come down to each teams’ kicker and Miami’s kicker Jason Sanders was ridiculously good last season making 36 of 39 field goals (92.3%), making one as long as 56 yards and did not miss a single extra point. Sanders is off to another good start this season, and he could be the edge in this game of two mediocre football teams.
I’ll take the Dolphins at -1.5 because of the leg of Jason Sanders.