Colts vs. Patriots Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 9: Don't be Surprised to See Offenses Thrive

The Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots used to be must-watch television when Peyton Manning and Tom Brady would face-off.

Those days are long behind us, and now we get a game between Sam Ehlinger and Mac Jones. I have to admit, but this quarterback matchup doesn't quite get me as excited as Manning vs. Brady.

Regardless, these are two teams with playoff hopes, so this game is still extremely important for both clubs.

Let's dive into the odds for this AFC showdown.

Colts vs. Patriots Odds, Spread, and Total

Colts vs. Patriots Betting Trends

• Colts are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games
• The UNDER is 12-1 in the Colts last 13 games
• Colts are 1-8 straight up in their last nine games against Patriots
• Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games against Colts
• Colts are 6-0 ATS in last six games against AFC East opponents
• Patriots are 4-1 ATS in their last five games
• The OVER is 8-4 in the patriots last 12 games
• The OVER is 8-1 in the Patriots last nine home games

Colts vs. Patriots Prediction and Pick

For a total to be set in the 30's, I would need both offenses to be in the bottom 10 in the NFL. That isn't the case in this matchup. The Patriots rank 14th in yards per play this season, and the Colts, while ranking 25th, had their yards per play increase from 5.1 to 6.0 with Sam Ehlinger at quarterback.

Not only that, but the Colts should be able to run the ball successfully against the Patriots. New England ranks 23rd in opponent yards per carry. The Colts have struggled to run the ball all season, but I think they can get it moving this week.

The Colts turnovers in scoring position have killed them all season, but I'll bank on some positive regression from them in that area.

I think the total is too low in this game, and for that reason, I'll back the OVER.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.