Commanders vs. Colts Prediction, Odds, Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 8

Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17)
Washington Commanders wide receiver Terry McLaurin (17) / Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

The Washington Commanders not only beat the Green Bay Packers in Week 7, they outgained them 364-232 in the 23-21 win. The Commanders look to be in better hands after Carson Wentz injured his hand and Taylor Heinicke took over. Now, Washington will see if that performance will make the trip to face the Indianapolis Colts in Week 8. 

The Colts are coming off a loss to the Titans and are an even .500 through seven games, 3-3-1 and are favored at home. 

Matt Ryan (sprained shoulder) will no longer start for the Colts, as the team is turning things over to youngster Sam Ehlinger.

How does this change the Colts' outlook in this game? Here are the latest odds:

Commanders vs. Colts Odds, Spread and Total

Indianapolis and Washington Betting Trends

  • Indianapolis is 3-4 ATS
  • The under is 6-1 in Indianapolis’s games
  • Washington is 3-4 ATS
  • The under is 4-1 in Washington’s last five
  • Washington is 0-3-1 in last four vs. Indianapolis

Commanders vs. Colts Prediction and Pick

Taylor Heinicke really did a good job of getting the Washington offense going against Green Bay. Of course, they ran the ball against the Packers, everybody does that, but Heinicke also threw for 201 yards and two touchdowns. There was a bad pick six in there, but such is the Taylor Heinicke experience. 

Indianapolis on the other hand, really struggled to run the ball against Tennessee. The Colts ran for 65 total yards in Jonathan Taylor’s return from injury. In his absence they have shifted to a short passing team that relied on Matt Ryan to get the ball out quickly and complete a high percentage of his passes. Ryan is completing 68.3% of his passes, but has been over 70% in four of his last five. 

Now, Ehlinger will take the reins, which could change the way the team operates on offense.

That strategy might not work out well against the Washington defense that only allows opposing quarterbacks to complete 59.1% of their passes. That is the fifth best mark in the league. 

The under has been very profitable on both of these teams this season, and I’m going back to that well this week. I expect the total to drop throughout the week so get this one early and you’ll have some good closing line value. 

Pick: Under 41.5 (-110)

Follow all Josh Yourish’s bets HERE

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change