Commanders vs. Texans Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 11 (Bank on Washington's Defense Shining)

Nov 6, 2022; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne (94) runs
Nov 6, 2022; Landover, Maryland, USA; Washington Commanders defensive tackle Daron Payne (94) runs / Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports
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The Washington Commanders will face a much easier opponent in Week 11 than what they had on Monday night against the Eagles. They'll head to Houston to take on the Texans, who remain as the only one-win team in the NFL.

Can Houston get out of last place with a win, or are they on the fast track to having the first overall pick in the NFL Draft?

Let's dive into the latest odds for this game.

Commanders vs. Texans Odds, Spread, and Total

Commanders vs. Texans Betting Trends

  • Texans are 2-4-1 ATS in their last seven games
  • Texans are 4-2 ATS in their last six home games
  • The OVER is 5-2 in the Texans last seven home games
  • Commanders are 3-1-1 ATS in their last five games against Commanders

Commanders vs. Texans Prediction and Pick

The only unit worth praising in this game is the defense of the Washington Commanders. They're around middle of the pack in opponent yards per play, but they rank inside the top 10 in both third down defense and red zone defense.

Meanwhile, both offenses are atrocious, ranking in the bottom 10 in yards per play. They also rank 27th and 30th in third down conversion rate, completely unable to stay on the field. The Texans also rank 31st in red zone offense, struggling to find the end zone whenever they get close.

With all of those factors combined, you have to look at the UNDER in this game. Who knows which basement dweller will walk away with the victory, but if there's one thing I can bank on, it's neither offense putting on a strong performance.

Despite the low total, give me the UNDER in this toilet bowl of a game.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.


Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.