Cowboys vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 11

Two playoff contenders from each conference face off in Week 11 with a lot of talent on display.

Arrowhead Stadium welcomes the Dallas Cowboys against the Kansas City Chiefs; who opened as slight 2.5-point home favorites but the line has already shrunk to 1.5.  

Both teams enjoyed blowout wins heading into Week 11. The Cowboys bounced back from a sad loss to the Broncos and dismantled the Falcons 43-3. The offense finally got back on track after Dak Prescott’s injury and they looked more like the team leading the NFC East. 

Kansas City won their third game in a row after a very shaky start to the season. As was the case with the Cowboys, the Chiefs offense has finally woken up and scored 41 points on the Raiders. It seems the loss to the Titans a few weeks back was a wake-up call for this team. 

Here are the odds for this Week 11 showdown, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.

Cowboys vs. Chiefs, Spread, and Total Odds

Spread:

• Cowboys: +1.5 (-110)
• Chiefs: -1.5 (-110)

Moneyline:

• Cowboys: +105
• Chiefs: -125

Total:

• 56.0 (Over -110/Under -110)

Cowboys vs. Chiefs Betting Trends

• The Cowboys are 8-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last nine games. 
• The Cowboys are 5-1 ATS in their last six road games.  
• The UNDER is 5-0 in the Cowboys’ last five games against the AFC West. 
• The Chiefs are 0-5 ATS in their last five home games. 
• The UNDER is 5-2 in the last seven games between these two teams. 
• The UNDER is 4+1 in the Chief’s last five games against the NFC East. 

Cowboys vs. Chiefs Prediction and Pick

It will be interesting to see where the line moves leading up to kickoff. The Chiefs played an amazing game last week and looked like the Super Bowl contenders we have come to know. But, many will get sucked into this recency bias and forget this team has struggled mightily and covered just three of their 10 games this season. 

The Cowboys, meanwhile, are 8-1 ATS and are a perfect 3-0 as underdogs. I fear that if the line moves again it will continue to move in the Cowboys’ favor flirt with a pick 'em.

As it stands, I like the Cowboys' +1.5 on the spread and will be getting this pick in sooner than later before the line moves again. This game has the feel of a high-scoring affair so I also would lean towards the OVER if you want to double down on one of the better matchups in Week 11. 

Pick: Dallas Cowboys +1.5 (-110)