Cowboys vs. Saints Prediction, Odds, Against Spread and Over/Under for NFL Week 13
By Matt De Saro
The Dallas Cowboys were supposed to turn things around when Dak Prescott returned from injury. Instead, they've lost three of their last four games including a Thanksgiving Day shootout to the Raiders 36-33 in overtime.
The Cowboys will also be playing without their head coach when they face the New Orleans Saints on Thursday Night Football. News broke earlier on Monday that Mike McCarthy is in COVID-19 protocol and will miss the game. The team will also be without the "sage wisdom" of Joe Philbin and Jeff Blasko. As of now, the only player affected by the mini-outbreak is RT Terrence Steele.
It’s certainly not the news the Cowboys wanted when trying to pull themselves out of a rut. Somehow, despite their recent woes, they still hold a 2.5 game lead in the NFC East as once again the division is awful.
Things haven’t been going much better for the Saints recently who have lost four in a row and are now 5-6 and 2nd in the NFC South. Much like the NFC East, the South division is also pretty bad so the Saints are just one game out of a Wild Card spot.
Here are the odds for this NFC clash, courtesy of WynnBET Sportsbook.
Spread:
- Cowboys: -5.5 (-110)
- Saints: +5.5 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Cowboys: -220
- Saints: +650
Total:
- 47.0 (Over -110/Under -110)
Cowboys vs. Saints Betting Trends
- The Cowboys are 11-4 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 games.
- The Cowboys are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games against the Saints.
- The Cowboys are 1-8 ATS in their last nine games at New Orleans.
- The UNDER is 4-2 in the Cowboys’ last six games.
- The Saints are 2-4 ATS in their last six games.
- The OVER is 4-1 in the Saints’ last five games.
- The OVER is 5-1 in the Saints’ last six games against the NFC.
Cowboys vs. Saints Prediction and Pick
Despite their recent woes, the Cowboys remain statistically the best offense in the league. They lead in yards per game with 419.8 and yards per play at 6.2. Those yards have led them to be the second-highest scoring team in football with 29.6 PPG on average.
So how does a team with such a potent offense lose three of four games against average opponents? Predictably, it’s because their defense has let them down. Last week, the Cowboys ultimately lost due to an ill-timed defensive pass interference call on Anthony Brown that set up the game-winning field goal for Las Vegas. It was the fourth PI on Brown, all of which converted a third down for the Raiders. The Cowboys now lead the league in penalty yards after breaking the team record with 166 penalty yards last week.
The Saints have it even worse right now, if you can believe it. They've now lost four straight games and their three best offensive players are injured. In their last game out, the Bills held them to just six points and 190 yards in total offense. They have not won a game since Jameis Winston went down and it’s hard to see them snapping back against the Cowboys.
The Cowboys are in a great spot here to get back on track and actually have their starting lineup intact. With the spread at 5.5 right now I love the Cowboys to beat up on a Saints’ team that is down and nearlty out.
Pick: Dallas Cowboys -5.5 (-110)