Cowboys vs. Vikings Prediction and Odds for NFL Week 11 (Dak Prescott Will Thrive in Favorable Matchup)

Nov 13, 2022; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA;  Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) drops back to
Nov 13, 2022; Green Bay, Wisconsin, USA; Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) drops back to / Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The Minnesota Vikings pulled off a miraculous come from behind victory over the Buffalo Bills in Week 10, while the Dallas Cowboys blew a 14-point lead against the Green Bay Packers.

The two teams will now face each other in a Week 11 showdown that will have implications on the NFC playoff picture.

Can Minnesota improve to 9-1, or will the Cowboys get back on track with a win?

Let's take a look at the latest odds.

Cowboys vs. Vikings Odds, Spread, and Total

Cowboys vs. Vikings Betting Trends

  • Cowboys are 6-2 ATS in their last eight games
  • Vikings are 10-3 ATS in last 13 games against Cowboys
  • The OVER is 4-1 in the Cowboys last five road games
  • Cowboys are 15-5 ATS in last 20 games against NFC opponents
  • The UNDER is 8-4 in the last 12 meetings between these teams
  • Vikings are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games against NFC East opponents

Cowboys vs. Vikings Prediction and Pick

Many of the offensive stats between these two teams are similar. For example, the Vikings rank 16th in yards per play this season, but the Cowboys are right behind them, ranking 18th.

The difference between these two squads lies in their defense. The Cowboys defense continues to be elite, ranking sixth in opponent yards per play, 10th in third down defense, 12th in red zone defense, and first in sack percentage.

Comparatively, the Vikings defense ranks 28th, ninth, 31st, and 11th in those areas. They also rank 29th in opponent yards per pass attempt, which should give Dak Prescott a fantastic opportunity to bounce back in a big way after a disappointing game against the Packers.

Minnesota's red zone defense may just be their downfall this season. It's going to be tough to continue to win games when opponents score a touchdown on 72% of their trips to your red zone.

I'll back Dallas to bounce back with a win and hand the Vikings their second loss of the season.

You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.