Creighton vs. Providence Prediction and Odds for Big East Tournament Semis (Back the Friars)
Providence blew the doors off Creighton just a few weeks ago and roll into this game having beaten everyone on its schedule (outside two close loses to Villanova) since early January. The Blue Jays, meanwhile, continue an up-and-down season with a 3-2 record down stretch, including said loss to the Friars. Who comes out on top in this Big East battle?
Let's jump into the matchup after checking out the odds on WynnBET.
Creighton vs. Providence Odds, Spread and Total
Spread
- Creighton +3 (-110)
- Providence -3 (-110)
Moneyline:
- Creighton +127
- Providence -155
Total:
- 130.5 (Over 110/Under -110)
Creighton vs. Providence Prediction and Pick
This seems like a small line considering Providence beat Creighton 72-51 on Feb. 26. What's changed since then? Not much in my opinion. Providence lost a two-point game against a talented Villanova squad on the road after that and just beat Butler 65-61 in the Big East Quarterfinals. That's not exactly a statement win against a sub-.500 opponent, but tournament time is all about win and advance, which the Friars did.
A lot of the metrics suggest this should be a low-scoring game, which would suggest it should be close, hence the 3-point line and 130.5 OVER/UNDER. Creighton is 26th in Adjusted Defense Efficiency on KenPom and Providence is 64th. The UNDER is hitting in 66.7% of Creighton's games this season and 52.6% of Providence's.
The big differentiator here is Providence is 28th in Adjusted Offensive Efficiency to Creighton's 128. In a must-win spot, I'll lean on the team with the stronger offense to get past an opponent that struggles to score.
Lean: Providence -3 (-110)