Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Picks for Yankees vs. Guardians ALDS Game 4 (Cleveland Matches Up Well vs. Cole)
With the San Diego Padres and Philadelphia Phillies taking out the L.A. Dodgers and Atlanta Braves respectively on Saturday, the lone game of the night in the Big Leagues takes place in Cleveland for Game 4 of the ALDS.
The New York Yankees had the Guardians on the ropes in Game 3, but blew a 5-3 lead in the bottom of the ninth as Cleveland took a 2-1 series lead with a chance to advance this evening.
Even with just one game to wager on, there's still plenty of betting options available; including on the matchup itself, props, same game parlays and more! In this article, we'll focus on our favorite bets for players to hit an anytime home run in the ballgame as part of our "Daily Dinger" contest.
Who's leaving the yard on a postseaosn version of "Sunday Night Baseball?" Here are our top props below.
Don't forget, you can follow along with all of our picks and standings for the season HERE.
Best Home Run Picks Today
José Ramírez (+430)
I’m going back to betting on Ramírez against Gerrit Cole, as the Cleveland Guardians All-Star has been extremely solid against him in his career.
Ramirez is 5-for-16 (.313) against Cole with two homers and four RBIs. Cole has allowed a homer in nine consecutive starts this season. Over that stretch, he’s given up 13 long balls.
Ramirez picked up a few hits in Game 3, and he’s a threat to go yard against a weak Yankees bullpen as well. I love his odds in Game 4. – Peter Dewey
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Josh Naylor (+540)
I will gladly fade Gerrit Cole in this spot, who has been known to give up some home runs from time to time. I’ll back Guardians first baseman, Josh Naylor, to go yard tonight.He already has 20 home runs this season, and his numbers see a significant increase when he faces a right-handed pitcher.
His slugging percentage increases from .236 against lefties, up to .522 against righties. 19 of his 20 home runs this season has also been against right-handed pitchers. – Iain MacMillan
You can track Iain's bets on Betstamp here.
Josh Donaldson (+600)
Cal Quantrill has not been easy to hit a home run off this year, averaging just one home run per nine innings over 186.1 this year.
That's why I'm picking a player who's made hitting Quantrill look easy in Yankees third baseman Josh Donaldson.
Donaldson's numbers lifetime vs. Quantrill are impressive: looking 8 for 18 in 22 plate appearances with two home runs, and three walks compared to just two strikeouts. That's a large enough sample size to indicate that Donaldson sees the ball out of his hands really well.
He hasn't hit a home run since the middle of September, but his history against Quantrill makes this price point a reasonable one in the Yankees' elimination game tonight.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.