Daily Dinger: Best Home Run Prop Bet Picks Today (Is Tonight The Night Aaron Judge Makes History?)

Sep 26, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) is
Sep 26, 2022; Toronto, Ontario, CAN; New York Yankees right fielder Aaron Judge (99) is / John E. Sokolowski-USA TODAY Sports
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The final week of the regular season has left us wondering if Aaron Judge is going to make history.

Judge is on the precipice of history, sitting on 60 home runs this season as the New York Yankees are in Toronto to take on the Blue Jays. One of our BetSided writers is backing Judge to make history on Tuesday and tie Roger Marris' AL home run record of 61. Meanwhile, another is keying in on the other team in New York, the Mets, who are in a heated division race and need a victory.

Keep reading for our full slate of home run prop bets on Tuesday's MLB slate and check out our full standings for the season!

Best Home Run Picks Today

Aaron Judge (+215) - New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays

Aaron Judge will tie the Yankees’ single season home run record against the Toronto Blue Jays and starter Jose Berrios on Tuesday. 

Why? 

Well, Judge has hit the ball well off Berrios in his career, slashing .333/.350/.556 in 18 at bats. He also has a homer and double off the Jays righty. Berrios has struggled mightily this year, posting a 5.27 ERA, and he’s also allowed 29 home runs in 30 starts. 

Judge has been in a bit of a slump, but this is the perfect matchup for him to get the monkey off his back and hit No. 61 on the season. – Peter Dewey

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Francisco Lindor (+500) - New York Mets vs. Miami Marlins

Lindor has been on fire at the plate as the Mets try to wrap up the NL East this week, hitting .333 over his last 12 games with a pair of home runs. Now, he gets to face Pablo López, who has an ERA north of 5.00 since the All-Star break. The Marlins starter has been a mess on the mound since the middle of July and has allowed nine home runs in 12 starts. For reference, he allowed 11 in 18 starts before the All-Star game. 

Lindor is hitting .272 against righties this season and 16 of his 25 homers come against right handers. At +500 this number is way too long for a player swinging that bat as good as the Mets shortstop. -- Reed Wallach

Track all of Reed's bets at Betstamp HERE!

Joc Pederson (+442) – San Francisco Giants vs. Colorado Rockies

Pederson has hit three home runs in the last 28 days, but none in the last 14 days. What better night to break out of a slump than today?

This is a matchup built for Pederson. The wind will be blowing out in San Francisco, German Marquez has given up five home runs in his last four starts and Pederson dominates against righties.

On the season, 20 of Pederson’s 22 homers have come against right-handed pitchers. All the factors are there for Pederson to have a big day at the plate, so it’s an easy choice for me. – Donnavan Smoot

You can find Donnavan Smoot’s full betting record here.